2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
AL East

Orioles
Orioles

Red Sox
Red Sox

Yankees
Yankees

Rays
Rays

Blue Jays
Blue Jays
AL Central

White Sox
White Sox

Guardians
Guardians

Tigers
Tigers

Royals
Royals

Twins
Twins
AL West

Astros
Astros

Angels
Angels

Athletics
Athletics

Mariners
Mariners

Rangers
Rangers
NL East

Braves
Braves

Marlins
Marlins

Mets
Mets

Phillies
Phillies

Nationals
Nationals
NL Central

Cubs
Cubs

Reds
Reds

Brewers
Brewers

Pirates
Pirates

Cardinals
Cardinals
NL West

Diamondbacks
Dbacks

Rockies
Rockies

Dodgers
Dodgers

Padres
Padres

Giants
Giants
Our rolling game scores are generated using a version of Bill James’s game scores proposed by Tangotiger (and slightly modified by us) to isolate pitching performances. Like our team ratings, these pitcher game scores are normalized for eras and stadiums, so pitchers can be directly compared with one another throughout history. They’re also adjusted to take the opposing team’s offensive strength into account, so a pitcher earns more credit for a great start against a top team than against a mediocre one. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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