The Philadelphia 76ers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Joel Embiid	J. Embiid		37	SAME			+3.5	+4.3
James Harden	J. Harden		38	SAME			+4.7	-0.3
De'Anthony Melton	D. Melton		26	SAME			+0.3	+1.4
Tobias Harris	T. Harris		33	SAME			+0.2	-0.5
Tyrese Maxey	T. Maxey		33	SAME			+2.1	-0.9
P.J. Tucker	P. Tucker		17	SAME			-1.8	+0.3
Jalen McDaniels	J. McDaniels		17	SAME			-1.0	+0.2
Georges Niang	G. Niang		14	SAME			-0.4	-1.6
Paul Reed	P. Reed		10	SAME			-0.6	+2.3
Shake Milton	S. Milton		4	SAME			-0.1	-1.5
Danuel House Jr.	D. House Jr.		4	SAME			-1.9	-1.0
Montrezl Harrell	M. Harrell		4	SAME			-0.4	+1.3
Dewayne Dedmon	D. Dedmon		3	SAME			-3.2	+0.3
Furkan Korkmaz	F. Korkmaz		0	SAME			-1.0	-0.4
Mac McClung	M. McClung		0	SAME			-1.4	-0.6
Jaden Springer	J. Springer		0	SAME			-0.1	-0.9
Louis King	L. King		0	SAME			-0.8	-0.1
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+5.9	+2.7
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 96.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 96.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			111-102
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			60
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1705
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1640). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1640). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1677
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1690

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Joel Embiid	J. Embiid		37		+3.5	+4.3
James Harden	J. Harden		38		+4.7	-0.3
De'Anthony Melton	D. Melton		26		+0.3	+1.4
Tobias Harris	T. Harris		33		+0.2	-0.5
Tyrese Maxey	T. Maxey		33		+2.1	-0.9
P.J. Tucker	P. Tucker		17		-1.8	+0.3
Jalen McDaniels	J. McDaniels		17		-1.0	+0.2
Georges Niang	G. Niang		14		-0.4	-1.6
Paul Reed	P. Reed		10		-0.6	+2.3
Shake Milton	S. Milton		4		-0.1	-1.5
Danuel House Jr.	D. House Jr.		4		-1.9	-1.0
Montrezl Harrell	M. Harrell		4		-0.4	+1.3
Dewayne Dedmon	D. Dedmon		3		-3.2	+0.3
Furkan Korkmaz	F. Korkmaz		0		-1.0	-0.4
Mac McClung	M. McClung		0		-1.4	-0.6
Jaden Springer	J. Springer		0		-0.1	-0.9
Louis King	L. King		0		-0.8	-0.1
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+5.9	+2.7
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 96.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 96.7 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			111-102
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			60
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1705
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1640). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1640). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1677
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1690

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Philadelphia 76ers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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