The Sacramento Kings have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
De'Aaron Fox	D. Fox		35	SAME			+3.5	-1.7
Domantas Sabonis	D. Sabonis		37	SAME			+1.9	+0.7
Harrison Barnes	H. Barnes		31	SAME			+0.4	-0.5
Kevin Huerter	K. Huerter		28	SAME			+1.5	-1.3
Chimezie Metu	C. Metu		12	SAME			-1.9	+0.1
Davion Mitchell	D. Mitchell		13	SAME			-1.4	+1.2
Keegan Murray	K. Murray		33	SAME			-0.4	-0.9
Richaun Holmes	R. Holmes		10	SAME			-2.2	-0.9
Malik Monk	M. Monk		20	SAME			+1.4	-1.5
Trey Lyles	T. Lyles		13	SAME			-0.7	-1.0
Terence Davis	T. Davis		4	SAME			+0.3	-0.5
Matthew Dellavedova	M. Dellavedova		0	SAME			-1.6	+0.2
Kessler Edwards	K. Edwards		4	SAME			-1.1	-0.5
Alex Len	A. Len		0	SAME			-3.4	+0.7
Keon Ellis	K. Ellis		0	SAME			-1.1	+0.5
Neemias Queta	N. Queta		0	SAME			-2.7	+0.7
PJ Dozier	P. Dozier		0	SAME			-1.2	+0.3
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+3.5	-2.9
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			111-110
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			42
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1519
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1537). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1537). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1525
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1528

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
De'Aaron Fox	D. Fox		35		+3.5	-1.7
Domantas Sabonis	D. Sabonis		37		+1.9	+0.7
Harrison Barnes	H. Barnes		31		+0.4	-0.5
Kevin Huerter	K. Huerter		28		+1.5	-1.3
Chimezie Metu	C. Metu		12		-1.9	+0.1
Davion Mitchell	D. Mitchell		13		-1.4	+1.2
Keegan Murray	K. Murray		33		-0.4	-0.9
Richaun Holmes	R. Holmes		10		-2.2	-0.9
Malik Monk	M. Monk		20		+1.4	-1.5
Trey Lyles	T. Lyles		13		-0.7	-1.0
Terence Davis	T. Davis		4		+0.3	-0.5
Matthew Dellavedova	M. Dellavedova		0		-1.6	+0.2
Kessler Edwards	K. Edwards		4		-1.1	-0.5
Alex Len	A. Len		0		-3.4	+0.7
Keon Ellis	K. Ellis		0		-1.1	+0.5
Neemias Queta	N. Queta		0		-2.7	+0.7
PJ Dozier	P. Dozier		0		-1.2	+0.3
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+3.5	-2.9
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			111-110
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			42
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1519
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1537). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1537). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1525
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1528

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Sacramento Kings have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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