The New Orleans Pelicans have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Zion Williamson	Z. Williamson		34	SAME			+2.6	-0.1
Brandon Ingram	B. Ingram		34	SAME			+2.2	-1.3
CJ McCollum	C. McCollum		35	SAME			+1.6	-1.2
Herbert Jones	H. Jones		30	SAME			-0.7	+2.9
Trey Murphy III	T. Murphy III		26	SAME			+1.0	+0.1
Jonas Valanciunas	J. Valanciunas		25	SAME			-0.2	-0.3
Josh Richardson	J. Richardson		16	SAME			-0.7	-0.8
Naji Marshall	N. Marshall		17	SAME			-0.8	-0.4
Jose Alvarado	J. Alvarado		14	SAME			+0.2	+1.8
Dyson Daniels	D. Daniels		0	SAME			-2.7	+1.8
Larry Nance Jr.	L. Nance Jr.		4	SAME			-0.7	+1.5
Jaxson Hayes	J. Hayes		3	SAME			-2.8	0.0
Kira Lewis Jr.	K. Lewis Jr.		0	SAME			-0.5	-1.0
Willy Hernangomez	W. Hernangomez		2	SAME			-0.9	+0.3
Garrett Temple	G. Temple		0	SAME			-2.1	-0.1
E.J. Liddell	E. Liddell		0	SAME			-1.5	-0.4
Dereon Seabron	D. Seabron		0	SAME			-1.6	-0.9
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+3.5	+0.1
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			111-107
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			50
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1588
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1530). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1530). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1571
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1576

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Zion Williamson	Z. Williamson		34		+2.6	-0.1
Brandon Ingram	B. Ingram		34		+2.2	-1.3
CJ McCollum	C. McCollum		35		+1.6	-1.2
Herbert Jones	H. Jones		30		-0.7	+2.9
Trey Murphy III	T. Murphy III		26		+1.0	+0.1
Jonas Valanciunas	J. Valanciunas		25		-0.2	-0.3
Josh Richardson	J. Richardson		16		-0.7	-0.8
Naji Marshall	N. Marshall		17		-0.8	-0.4
Jose Alvarado	J. Alvarado		14		+0.2	+1.8
Dyson Daniels	D. Daniels		0		-2.7	+1.8
Larry Nance Jr.	L. Nance Jr.		4		-0.7	+1.5
Jaxson Hayes	J. Hayes		3		-2.8	0.0
Kira Lewis Jr.	K. Lewis Jr.		0		-0.5	-1.0
Willy Hernangomez	W. Hernangomez		2		-0.9	+0.3
Garrett Temple	G. Temple		0		-2.1	-0.1
E.J. Liddell	E. Liddell		0		-1.5	-0.4
Dereon Seabron	D. Seabron		0		-1.6	-0.9
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+3.5	+0.1
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			111-107
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			50
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1588
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1530). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1530). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1571
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1576

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The New Orleans Pelicans have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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