The Houston Rockets have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Jalen Green	J. Green		35	SAME			+1.1	-2.7
Kevin Porter Jr.	K. Porter Jr.		35	SAME			+1.4	-0.7
Jabari Smith Jr.	J. Smith Jr.		35	SAME			-3.0	-1.3
Alperen Sengun	A. Sengun		29	SAME			0.0	+0.8
Josh Christopher	J. Christopher		13	SAME			-2.1	-2.7
Jae'Sean Tate	J. Tate		24	SAME			-1.4	+0.7
Kenyon Martin Jr.	K. Martin Jr.		23	SAME			-0.9	-3.1
Daishen Nix	D. Nix		8	SAME			-3.7	-2.3
TyTy Washington Jr.	T. Washington Jr.		8	SAME			-2.2	-2.2
Tari Eason	T. Eason		20	SAME			-0.8	+1.0
Usman Garuba	U. Garuba		10	SAME			-2.5	+0.2
Frank Kaminsky	F. Kaminsky		0	SAME			-2.0	+1.1
D.J. Augustin	D. Augustin		0	SAME			-0.8	-4.1
Trevor Hudgins	T. Hudgins		0	SAME			-1.6	-0.3
Darius Days	D. Days		0	SAME			-1.2	0.0
Boban Marjanovic	B. Marjanovic		0	SAME			-2.9	+0.2
Willie Cauley-Stein	W. Cauley-Stein		0	SAME			-3.1	+1.1
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			-3.5	-4.6
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			104-112
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			22
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1313
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1328). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1328). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1319

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Jalen Green	J. Green		35		+1.1	-2.7
Kevin Porter Jr.	K. Porter Jr.		35		+1.4	-0.7
Jabari Smith Jr.	J. Smith Jr.		35		-3.0	-1.3
Alperen Sengun	A. Sengun		29		0.0	+0.8
Josh Christopher	J. Christopher		13		-2.1	-2.7
Jae'Sean Tate	J. Tate		24		-1.4	+0.7
Kenyon Martin Jr.	K. Martin Jr.		23		-0.9	-3.1
Daishen Nix	D. Nix		8		-3.7	-2.3
TyTy Washington Jr.	T. Washington Jr.		8		-2.2	-2.2
Tari Eason	T. Eason		20		-0.8	+1.0
Usman Garuba	U. Garuba		10		-2.5	+0.2
Frank Kaminsky	F. Kaminsky		0		-2.0	+1.1
D.J. Augustin	D. Augustin		0		-0.8	-4.1
Trevor Hudgins	T. Hudgins		0		-1.6	-0.3
Darius Days	D. Days		0		-1.2	0.0
Boban Marjanovic	B. Marjanovic		0		-2.9	+0.2
Willie Cauley-Stein	W. Cauley-Stein		0		-3.1	+1.1
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			-3.5	-4.6
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			104-112
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			22
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1313
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1328). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1328). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1319
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1319

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Houston Rockets have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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