The Phoenix Suns have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Kevin Durant	K. Durant		38	SAME			+3.9	+0.1
Devin Booker	D. Booker		32	SAME			+4.8	-0.4
Chris Paul	C. Paul		32	SAME			+2.5	-0.2
Deandre Ayton	D. Ayton		32	SAME			-1.2	+0.5
Josh Okogie	J. Okogie		17	SAME			-0.9	+2.9
Torrey Craig	T. Craig		19	SAME			-1.6	-0.4
Damion Lee	D. Lee		13	SAME			-1.1	+0.6
Cameron Payne	C. Payne		14	SAME			+0.6	-0.4
Terrence Ross	T. Ross		13	SAME			-0.9	-2.0
Landry Shamet	L. Shamet		13	SAME			-0.4	+0.1
T.J. Warren	T. Warren		5	SAME			-1.5	-0.6
Ish Wainright	I. Wainright		4	SAME			-0.9	+0.4
Jock Landale	J. Landale		4	SAME			-1.1	+1.3
Bismack Biyombo	B. Biyombo		4	SAME			-3.3	+0.6
Saben Lee	S. Lee		0	SAME			-1.3	+0.1
Darius Bazley	D. Bazley		0	SAME			-3.5	+1.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+4.6	+0.5
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			112-107
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			53
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1624
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1557). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1557). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1598
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1616

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Kevin Durant	K. Durant		38		+3.9	+0.1
Devin Booker	D. Booker		32		+4.8	-0.4
Chris Paul	C. Paul		32		+2.5	-0.2
Deandre Ayton	D. Ayton		32		-1.2	+0.5
Josh Okogie	J. Okogie		17		-0.9	+2.9
Torrey Craig	T. Craig		19		-1.6	-0.4
Damion Lee	D. Lee		13		-1.1	+0.6
Cameron Payne	C. Payne		14		+0.6	-0.4
Terrence Ross	T. Ross		13		-0.9	-2.0
Landry Shamet	L. Shamet		13		-0.4	+0.1
T.J. Warren	T. Warren		5		-1.5	-0.6
Ish Wainright	I. Wainright		4		-0.9	+0.4
Jock Landale	J. Landale		4		-1.1	+1.3
Bismack Biyombo	B. Biyombo		4		-3.3	+0.6
Saben Lee	S. Lee		0		-1.3	+0.1
Darius Bazley	D. Bazley		0		-3.5	+1.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+4.6	+0.5
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			112-107
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			53
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1624
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1557). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1557). The weight given to Elo — 38% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1598
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1616

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Phoenix Suns have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

Comments