The Oklahoma City Thunder have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	S. Gilgeous-Alexander		36	+1			+3.7	-0.3
Luguentz Dort	L. Dort		30	SAME			-1.1	+2.0
Josh Giddey	J. Giddey		34	+2			-0.4	-1.7
Chet Holmgren	C. Holmgren		0	-32			-1.4	+0.5
Jalen Williams	J. Williams		27	SAME			-0.8	-0.9
Isaiah Joe	I. Joe		15	SAME			+1.5	+0.2
Aleksej Pokusevski	A. Pokusevski		21	+2			-2.6	-0.3
Tre Mann	T. Mann		16	+3			-1.6	-0.8
Ousmane Dieng	O. Dieng		7	+5			-2.2	-1.5
Kenrich Williams	K. Williams		0	-10			-0.9	+2.0
Aaron Wiggins	A. Wiggins		7	+4			-1.1	-0.6
Lindy Waters III	L. Waters III		6	+4			+0.3	0.0
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	J. Robinson-Earl		19	+9			-2.0	-0.3
Jaylin Williams	J. Williams		17	+7			-2.5	+1.8
Olivier Sarr	O. Sarr		2	+2			-3.8	-0.7
Dario Saric	D. Saric		3	+3			-1.1	0.0
Jared Butler	J. Butler		0	SAME			-0.1	-0.5
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			-2.0	-0.8
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			106-109
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			34
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1439
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1517). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1517). The weight given to Elo — 29% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1462
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1462

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	S. Gilgeous-Alexander		35		+3.7	-0.3
Luguentz Dort	L. Dort		30		-1.1	+2.0
Josh Giddey	J. Giddey		32		-0.4	-1.7
Chet Holmgren	C. Holmgren		32		-1.4	+0.5
Jalen Williams	J. Williams		27		-0.8	-0.9
Isaiah Joe	I. Joe		15		+1.5	+0.2
Aleksej Pokusevski	A. Pokusevski		19		-2.6	-0.3
Tre Mann	T. Mann		13		-1.6	-0.8
Ousmane Dieng	O. Dieng		2		-2.2	-1.5
Kenrich Williams	K. Williams		10		-0.9	+2.0
Aaron Wiggins	A. Wiggins		3		-1.1	-0.6
Lindy Waters III	L. Waters III		2		+0.3	0.0
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	J. Robinson-Earl		10		-2.0	-0.3
Jaylin Williams	J. Williams		10		-2.5	+1.8
Olivier Sarr	O. Sarr		0		-3.8	-0.7
Dario Saric	D. Saric		0		-1.1	0.0
Jared Butler	J. Butler		0		-0.1	-0.5
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			-1.7	+0.1
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.5 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			106-108
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			37
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1465
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1517). The weight given to Elo — 20% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1517). The weight given to Elo — 20% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1475
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1476

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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