The Portland Trail Blazers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Damian Lillard	D. Lillard		37	SAME			+7.5	-1.8
Jerami Grant	J. Grant		33	SAME			0.0	-0.8
Shaedon Sharpe	S. Sharpe		20	SAME			-2.2	-2.5
Matisse Thybulle	M. Thybulle		19	SAME			-1.9	+3.2
Anfernee Simons	A. Simons		33	SAME			+2.1	-1.4
Cam Reddish	C. Reddish		24	SAME			-2.1	-0.6
Jusuf Nurkic	J. Nurkic		27	SAME			-0.8	+2.1
Justise Winslow	J. Winslow		22	SAME			-1.8	+0.9
Trendon Watford	T. Watford		15	SAME			-2.2	-1.2
Drew Eubanks	D. Eubanks		6	SAME			-2.0	-0.2
Nassir Little	N. Little		2	SAME			-0.9	-1.5
Kevin Knox II	K. Knox II		2	SAME			-1.6	-2.4
Keon Johnson	K. Johnson		0	SAME			-2.9	-2.4
Jabari Walker	J. Walker		0	SAME			-3.4	-1.6
John Butler Jr.	J. Butler Jr.		0	SAME			-4.1	-0.9
Ibou Badji	I. Badji		0	SAME			-1.5	-1.3
Jeenathan Williams	J. Williams		0	SAME			-1.5	-1.3
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+2.0	-1.7
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.2 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.2 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			109-109
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			42
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1510
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1310). The weight given to Elo — 0% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1310). The weight given to Elo — 0% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1510
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1515

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Damian Lillard	D. Lillard		37		+7.5	-1.8
Jerami Grant	J. Grant		33		0.0	-0.8
Shaedon Sharpe	S. Sharpe		20		-2.2	-2.5
Matisse Thybulle	M. Thybulle		19		-1.9	+3.2
Anfernee Simons	A. Simons		33		+2.1	-1.4
Cam Reddish	C. Reddish		24		-2.1	-0.6
Jusuf Nurkic	J. Nurkic		27		-0.8	+2.1
Justise Winslow	J. Winslow		22		-1.8	+0.9
Trendon Watford	T. Watford		15		-2.2	-1.2
Drew Eubanks	D. Eubanks		6		-2.0	-0.2
Nassir Little	N. Little		2		-0.9	-1.5
Kevin Knox II	K. Knox II		2		-1.6	-2.4
Keon Johnson	K. Johnson		0		-2.9	-2.4
Jabari Walker	J. Walker		0		-3.4	-1.6
John Butler Jr.	J. Butler Jr.		0		-4.1	-0.9
Ibou Badji	I. Badji		0		-1.5	-1.3
Jeenathan Williams	J. Williams		0		-1.5	-1.3
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+2.0	-1.7
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.2 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.2 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			109-109
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			42
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1510
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1310). The weight given to Elo — 0% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1310). The weight given to Elo — 0% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1510
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1515

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Portland Trail Blazers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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