
2022-23 NBA Predictions
Updated after every game and depth chart revision.
More NBA:Our preseason player projectionsRAPTOR player ratingsBuild your own team

The Golden State Warriors have a 90% chance of making the playoffs and a 4% chance of winning the NBA Finals
Roster depth chart
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||||
Stephen Curry | S. Curry | 31 | -3 | +6.7 | -0.7 | ||||||||
Andrew Wiggins | A. Wiggins | 28 | -4 | -0.2 | +1.3 | ||||||||
Draymond Green | D. Green | 28 | -3 | -1.0 | +3.2 | ||||||||
Klay Thompson | K. Thompson | 29 | -3 | +1.1 | -1.3 | ||||||||
Kevon Looney | K. Looney | 22 | -2 | +0.1 | +1.9 | ||||||||
Jordan Poole | J. Poole | 21 | +2 | +0.1 | -1.5 | ||||||||
Donte DiVincenzo | D. DiVincenzo | 16 | +1 | -0.1 | +1.4 | ||||||||
Jonathan Kuminga | J. Kuminga | 19 | -2 | -2.2 | -0.2 | ||||||||
Ty Jerome | T. Jerome | 13 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.7 | ||||||||
Gary Payton II | G. Payton II | 8 | +3 | +0.7 | +2.2 | ||||||||
Andre Iguodala | A. Iguodala | 7 | -1 | -0.9 | +1.9 | ||||||||
Moses Moody | M. Moody | 5 | +1 | -2.0 | -1.4 | ||||||||
JaMychal Green | J. Green | 5 | +5 | -1.4 | -1.3 | ||||||||
Anthony Lamb | A. Lamb | 8 | +8 | -1.1 | +0.8 | ||||||||
Ryan Rollins | R. Rollins | 0 | SAME | -2.1 | -1.0 | ||||||||
Patrick Baldwin Jr. | P. Baldwin Jr. | 0 | SAME | -3.5 | -2.0 | ||||||||
Lester Quinones | L. Quinones | 0 | SAME | -1.8 | -0.7 | ||||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.3 | +1.6 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 104.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 104.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 115-111 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 51 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1605 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1556). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1556). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1590 |
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Expected minutes per game | Exp. min. per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Stephen Curry | S. Curry | 34 | +6.7 | -0.7 | |||||
Andrew Wiggins | A. Wiggins | 32 | -0.2 | +1.3 | |||||
Draymond Green | D. Green | 31 | -1.0 | +3.2 | |||||
Klay Thompson | K. Thompson | 32 | +1.1 | -1.3 | |||||
Kevon Looney | K. Looney | 24 | +0.1 | +1.9 | |||||
Jordan Poole | J. Poole | 19 | +0.1 | -1.5 | |||||
Donte DiVincenzo | D. DiVincenzo | 15 | -0.1 | +1.4 | |||||
Jonathan Kuminga | J. Kuminga | 21 | -2.2 | -0.2 | |||||
Ty Jerome | T. Jerome | 15 | -0.2 | -1.7 | |||||
Gary Payton II | G. Payton II | 5 | +0.7 | +2.2 | |||||
Andre Iguodala | A. Iguodala | 8 | -0.9 | +1.9 | |||||
Moses Moody | M. Moody | 4 | -2.0 | -1.4 | |||||
JaMychal Green | J. Green | 0 | -1.4 | -1.3 | |||||
Anthony Lamb | A. Lamb | 0 | -1.1 | +0.8 | |||||
Ryan Rollins | R. Rollins | 0 | -2.1 | -1.0 | |||||
Patrick Baldwin Jr. | P. Baldwin Jr. | 0 | -3.5 | -2.0 | |||||
Lester Quinones | L. Quinones | 0 | -1.8 | -0.7 | |||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.8 | +1.7 | |||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 104.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 104.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 116-111 | ||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 53 | ||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1621 | ||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1556). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1556). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1605 |
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per game | PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | TOTAL | vs. full strength (today) | vs. full strength (today) | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||||
Stephen Curry | S. Curry | 36 | +2 | +6.8 | -0.7 | ||||||||
Andrew Wiggins | A. Wiggins | 35 | +3 | +0.2 | +1.3 | ||||||||
Draymond Green | D. Green | 33 | +2 | -0.4 | +3.3 | ||||||||
Klay Thompson | K. Thompson | 30 | -2 | +0.7 | -1.3 | ||||||||
Kevon Looney | K. Looney | 25 | +1 | +0.3 | +2.0 | ||||||||
Jordan Poole | J. Poole | 23 | +4 | +0.1 | -1.6 | ||||||||
Donte DiVincenzo | D. DiVincenzo | 17 | +2 | -0.2 | +1.5 | ||||||||
Jonathan Kuminga | J. Kuminga | 19 | -2 | -2.3 | -0.2 | ||||||||
Ty Jerome | T. Jerome | 16 | +1 | -0.2 | -1.7 | ||||||||
Gary Payton II | G. Payton II | 1 | -4 | +0.8 | +2.2 | ||||||||
Andre Iguodala | A. Iguodala | 5 | -3 | -0.7 | +1.8 | ||||||||
Moses Moody | M. Moody | 0 | -4 | -2.0 | -1.4 | ||||||||
JaMychal Green | J. Green | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | -1.3 | ||||||||
Anthony Lamb | A. Lamb | 0 | SAME | -1.0 | +0.8 | ||||||||
Ryan Rollins | R. Rollins | 0 | SAME | -2.0 | -1.0 | ||||||||
Patrick Baldwin Jr. | P. Baldwin Jr. | 0 | SAME | -3.4 | -2.0 | ||||||||
Lester Quinones | L. Quinones | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | -0.6 | ||||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +4.1 | +2.0 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 101 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 114-107 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 55 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1648 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1556). The weight given to Elo — 24% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1556). The weight given to Elo — 24% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1626 | ||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1647 |
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
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