UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the California 48th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 23, 2020

U.S. House, CA-48, 2020

360LV
Jan.24
360LV
Rouda
23%
Rouda
23%

Rouda

23%

Burley

65%
65%
Burley  Burley+43

Aug. 10, 2019

U.S. House, CA-48, 2020

336LV
Aug.10-11
336LV
Rouda
42%
Rouda
42%

Rouda

42%

Steel

42%
42%
Steel  Even

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House, CA-48, 2018

491RV
Oct.29-Nov.4
491RV
Rouda
45%
Rouda
45%

Rouda

45%

Rohrabacher

41%
41%
Rohrabacher  Rouda+4
491LV
Oct.29-Nov.4
491LV
Rouda
46%
Rouda
46%

Rouda

46%

Rohrabacher

45%
45%
Rohrabacher  Rouda+2

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. House, CA-48, 2018

440LV
Oct.30-31
440LV
Rouda
42%
Rouda
42%

Rouda

42%

Rohrabacher

51%
51%
Rohrabacher  Rohrabacher+9

Oct. 20, 2018

U.S. House, CA-48, 2018

372LV
Oct.17-21
372LV
Rouda
46%
Rouda
46%

Rouda

46%

Rohrabacher

52%
52%
Rohrabacher  Rohrabacher+6
372LV
Oct.17-21
372LV
Rouda
50%
Rouda
50%

Rouda

50%

Rohrabacher

48%
48%
Rohrabacher  Rouda+2
372LV
Oct.17-21
372LV
Rouda
48%
Rouda
48%

Rouda

48%

Rohrabacher

50%
50%
Rohrabacher  Rohrabacher+2
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