See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 25, 2020, at 10:26 PM

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Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Feb. 17, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Jan 24, 2020
360 LV
Jan 24, 2020
360LVRouda
23%

Rouda

23%

Burley

65%
65%
BurleyBurley+43

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 13, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Aug 10-11, 2019
336 LV
Aug 10-11, 2019
336LVRouda
42%

Rouda

42%

Steel

42%
42%
SteelEven

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
491 RV
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
491RVRouda
45%

Rouda

45%

Rohrabacher

41%
41%
RohrabacherRouda+4
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
491 LV
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
491LVRouda
46%

Rouda

46%

Rohrabacher

45%
45%
RohrabacherRouda+2
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Oct 30-31, 2018
440 LV
Oct 30-31, 2018
440LVRouda
42%

Rouda

42%

Rohrabacher

51%
51%
RohrabacherRohrabacher+9
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Oct 18-19, 2018
440 LV
Oct 18-19, 2018
440LVRouda
41%

Rouda

41%

Rohrabacher

49%
49%
RohrabacherRohrabacher+8

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Oct 17-21, 2018
372 LV
Oct 17-21, 2018
372LVRouda
46%

Rouda

46%

Rohrabacher

52%
52%
RohrabacherRohrabacher+6
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Oct 17-21, 2018
372 LV
Oct 17-21, 2018
372LVRouda
50%

Rouda

50%

Rohrabacher

48%
48%
RohrabacherRouda+2
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Oct 17-21, 2018
372 LV
Oct 17-21, 2018
372LVRouda
48%

Rouda

48%

Rohrabacher

50%
50%
RohrabacherRohrabacher+2

Oct. 4, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Sep 16-23, 2018
623 LV
Sep 16-23, 2018
623LVRouda
48%

Rouda

48%

Rohrabacher

48%
48%
RohrabacherEven
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