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Who’s ahead in the Kansas 2nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 11, 2022

U.S. House, KS-2, 2022

500LV
Oct.10-12
500LV
Schmidt
42%
Schmidt
42%

Schmidt

42%

LaTurner

45%
45%
LaTurner  LaTurner+3

Sept. 29, 2020

U.S. House, KS-2, 2020

739LV
Sep.29-30
739LV
De La Isla
36%
De La Isla
36%

De La Isla

36%

LaTurner

47%
47%
LaTurner  LaTurner+11

July 29, 2020

U.S. House, KS-2, 2020

488LV
Jul.29-30
488LV
De La Isla
41%
De La Isla
41%

De La Isla

41%

LaTurner

45%
45%
LaTurner  LaTurner+4

July 16, 2020

U.S. House, KS-2, 2020

1,250LV
Jul.16-17
1,250LV
De La Isla
41%
De La Isla
41%

De La Isla

41%

LaTurner

42%
42%
LaTurner  LaTurner+1

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. House, KS-2, 2018

501RV
Oct.27-30
501RV
Davis
37%
Davis
37%

Davis

37%

Watkins

34%
34%
Watkins  Davis+3
501LV
Oct.27-30
501LV
Davis
41%
Davis
41%

Davis

41%

Watkins

37%
37%
Watkins  Davis+4
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