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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey 11th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 18, 2021

U.S. House, NJ-11, 2022

600LV
May 18-19
600LV
Sherrill
51%
Sherrill
51%

Sherrill

51%

Brotschol

49%
49%
Brotschol  Sherrill+3
600LV
May 18-19
600LV
Sherrill
51%
Sherrill
51%

Sherrill

51%

Becchi

49%
49%
Becchi  Sherrill+2

Oct. 16, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-11, 2018

487RV
Oct.13-17
487RV
Sherrill
45%
Sherrill
45%

Sherrill

45%

Webber

33%
33%
Webber  Sherrill+12
487LV
Oct.13-17
487LV
Sherrill
49%
Sherrill
49%

Sherrill

49%

Webber

38%
38%
Webber  Sherrill+10

Oct. 6, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-11, 2018

356LV
Oct.3-7
356LV
Sherrill
48%
Sherrill
48%

Sherrill

48%

Webber

45%
45%
Webber  Sherrill+3
356LV
Oct.3-7
356LV
Sherrill
50%
Sherrill
50%

Sherrill

50%

Webber

43%
43%
Webber  Sherrill+7
356LV
Oct.3-7
356LV
Sherrill
48%
Sherrill
48%

Sherrill

48%

Webber

44%
44%
Webber  Sherrill+4

Sept. 26, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-11, 2018

400LV
Sep.24-27
400LV
Sherrill
46%
Sherrill
46%

Sherrill

46%

Webber

43%
43%
Webber  Sherrill+3

July 21, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-11, 2018

400LV
Jul.18-22
400LV
Sherrill
42%
Sherrill
42%

Sherrill

42%

Webber

36%
36%
Webber  Sherrill+6
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