UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 5:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey 3rd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 28, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-3, 2022

400LV
Jul.22-29
400LV
Kim
44%
Kim
44%

Kim

44%

Healey

38%
38%
Healey  Kim+6

July 14, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-3, 2020

400LV
Jul.13-15
400LV
Kim
45%
Kim
45%

Kim

45%

Richter

42%
42%
Richter  Kim+3

Oct. 24, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-3, 2018

508RV
Oct.21-25
508RV
Kim
39%
Kim
39%

Kim

39%

MacArthur

41%
41%
MacArthur  MacArthur+1
508LV
Oct.21-25
508LV
Kim
44%
Kim
44%

Kim

44%

MacArthur

45%
45%
MacArthur  MacArthur+1

Oct. 21, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-3, 2018

363LV
Oct.18-22
363LV
Kim
49%
Kim
49%

Kim

49%

MacArthur

46%
46%
MacArthur  Kim+3
363LV
Oct.18-22
363LV
Kim
50%
Kim
50%

Kim

50%

MacArthur

44%
44%
MacArthur  Kim+6
363LV
Oct.18-22
363LV
Kim
48%
Kim
48%

Kim

48%

MacArthur

46%
46%
MacArthur  Kim+2

Oct. 9, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-3, 2018

546LV
Oct.3-10
546LV
Kim
45%
Kim
45%

Kim

45%

MacArthur

47%
47%
MacArthur  MacArthur+1
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