UPDATED Sep. 28, 2022, at 2:05 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Texas 22nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, TX-22, 2020

500LV
Oct.8-11
500LV
Kulkarni
48%
Kulkarni
48%

Kulkarni

48%

Nehls

43%

Leblanc

4%
43%
NehlsKulkarni+5
500LV
Sep.24-27
500LV
Kulkarni
47%
Kulkarni
47%

Kulkarni

47%

Nehls

44%

Leblanc

3%
44%
NehlsKulkarni+3
400LV
Jul.29-Aug.2
400LV
Kulkarni
46%
Kulkarni
46%

Kulkarni

46%

Nehls

46%
46%
Nehls  Even
500RV
Jul.27-Aug.2
500RV
Kulkarni
39%
Kulkarni
39%

Kulkarni

39%

Nehls

39%
39%
Nehls  Even
400RV
Jul.19-22
400RV
Kulkarni
32%
Kulkarni
32%

Kulkarni

32%

Nehls

44%

Leblanc

5%
44%
NehlsNehls+12
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