UPDATED Jan. 18, 2021, at 2:57 PM

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Who’s ahead in Virginia’s 7th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 31, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Oct 30-Nov 4, 2018
500 RV
Oct 30-Nov 4, 2018
500RVSpanberger
43%

Spanberger

43%

Brat

41%
41%
BratSpanberger+2
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Oct 30-Nov 4, 2018
500 LV
Oct 30-Nov 4, 2018
500LVSpanberger
44%

Spanberger

44%

Brat

46%
46%
BratBrat+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Oct 18-27, 2018
790 LV
Oct 18-27, 2018
790LVSpanberger
48%

Spanberger

48%

Brat

45%

Walton

3%
MoreSpanberger+3
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Oct 18-27, 2018
871 LV
Oct 18-27, 2018
871LVSpanberger
46%

Spanberger

46%

Brat

45%

Walton

4%
MoreSpanberger+1

Sept. 26, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Sep 18-20, 2018
400 LV
Sep 18-20, 2018
400LVSpanberger
47%

Spanberger

47%

Brat

47%
47%
BratEven

Sept. 25, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Sep 15-24, 2018
329 LV
Sep 15-24, 2018
329LVSpanberger
48%

Spanberger

48%

Brat

45%

Walton

1%
MoreSpanberger+3
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Sep 15-24, 2018
329 LV
Sep 15-24, 2018
329LVSpanberger
47%
Tie

Spanberger

47%

Brat

47%

Walton

0%
MoreEven
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Sep 15-24, 2018
400 V
Sep 15-24, 2018
400VSpanberger
47%

Spanberger

47%

Brat

42%

Walton

2%
MoreSpanberger+5

Sept. 11, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
VA-7VA-7
Sep 9-12, 2018
501 RV
Sep 9-12, 2018
501RVSpanberger
39%

Spanberger

39%

Brat

46%
46%
BratBrat+7
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