UPDATED Jan. 19, 2022, at 9:09 PM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215 RV
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215RVHassan
42%

Hassan

42%

Smith

24%
24%
SmithHassan+18
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215 RV
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Morse

27%
27%
MorseHassan+14
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215 RV
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215RVHassan
43%

Hassan

43%

Bolduc

36%
36%
BolducHassan+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Dec. 15, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Dec 10-12, 2021
1,041 LV
Dec 10-12, 2021
1,041LVHassan
46%

Hassan

46%

Morse

38%
38%
MorseHassan+7
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Dec 10-12, 2021
1,041 LV
Dec 10-12, 2021
1,041LVHassan
46%

Hassan

46%

Bolduc

40%
40%
BolducHassan+6

Dec. 1, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Nov 16-18, 2021
500 LV
Nov 16-18, 2021
500LVHassan
47%

Hassan

47%

Messner

45%
45%
MessnerHassan+2

Oct. 25, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 20-22, 2021
1,323 RV
Oct 20-22, 2021
1,323RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Sununu

46%
46%
SununuSununu+5

Oct. 20, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 14-18, 2021
979 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
979LVHassan
44%

Hassan

44%

Ayotte

43%
43%
AyotteHassan+1
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 14-18, 2021
979 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
979LVHassan
47%

Hassan

47%

Bolduc

42%
42%
BolducHassan+5
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Oct 14-18, 2021
979 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
979LVHassan
42%

Hassan

42%

Sununu

45%
45%
SununuSununu+3
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