See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 27, 2020, at 8:53 PM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 15, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 9-12, 2020
899 LV
Oct 9-12, 2020
899LVShaheen
55%

Shaheen

55%

Messner

40%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+15

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 8-12, 2020
500 LV
Oct 8-12, 2020
500LVShaheen
51%

Shaheen

51%

Messner

36%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+14

Oct. 8, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 1-4, 2020
1,147 LV
Oct 1-4, 2020
1,147LVShaheen
53%

Shaheen

53%

Messner

39%

O'Donnell

3%
MoreShaheen+14

Oct. 6, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Sep 25-28, 2020
600 LV
Sep 25-28, 2020
600LVShaheen
56%

Shaheen

56%

Messner

40%

O'Donnell

0%
MoreShaheen+16

Oct. 1, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
700 LV
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2020
700LVShaheen
55%

Shaheen

55%

Messner

40%
40%
MessnerShaheen+15
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Sep 24-28, 2020
972 LV
Sep 24-28, 2020
972LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

41%

O'Donnell

3%
MoreShaheen+13
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