UPDATED May 4, 2021, at 9:39 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 9, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Mar 4-6, 2021
871 RV
Mar 4-6, 2021
871RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Sununu

47%
47%
SununuSununu+6

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Feb. 24, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
53%

Hassan

53%

Lewandowski

34%
34%
LewandowskiHassan+19
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
52%

Hassan

52%

Bolduc

39%
39%
BolducHassan+13
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
48%

Hassan

48%

Ayotte

43%
43%
AyotteHassan+5
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676 LV
Feb 18-22, 2021
1,676LVHassan
46%

Hassan

46%

Sununu

48%
48%
SununuSununu+2

Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 26-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
600LVShaheen
57%

Shaheen

57%

Messner

40%

O'Donnell

0%
MoreShaheen+17
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 24-28, 2020
864 LV
Oct 24-28, 2020
864LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

43%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+11
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
1,018LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

39%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+15
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 16-26, 2020
757 LV
Oct 16-26, 2020
757LVShaheen
57%

Shaheen

57%

Messner

38%
38%
MessnerShaheen+19

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 9-12, 2020
899 LV
Oct 9-12, 2020
899LVShaheen
55%

Shaheen

55%

Messner

40%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+15

Oct. 13, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Oct 8-12, 2020
500 LV
Oct 8-12, 2020
500LVShaheen
51%

Shaheen

51%

Messner

36%

O'Donnell

2%
MoreShaheen+14
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