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Who’s ahead in the Oregon Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oregon, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,393LV
Nov.1-6
1,393LV
Wyden
56%
Wyden
56%

Wyden

56%

Perkins

42%

Pulju

1%

Henry

1%
42%
PerkinsWyden+14

Oct. 31, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oregon, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

975LV
Oct.31-Nov.1
975LV
Wyden
51%
Wyden
51%

Wyden

51%

Perkins

34%

Henry

3%

Pulju

2%
34%
PerkinsWyden+17

Oct. 17, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oregon, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,021LV
Oct.16-18
1,021LV
Wyden
51%
Wyden
51%

Wyden

51%

Perkins

40%

Henry

2%

Pulju

1%
40%
PerkinsWyden+11
804LV
Oct.15-18
804LV
Wyden
55%
Wyden
55%

Wyden

55%

Perkins

38%
38%
Perkins  Wyden+17

Sept. 30, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oregon, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

796LV
Sep.30-Oct.1
796LV
Wyden
51%
Wyden
51%

Wyden

51%

Perkins

32%
32%
Perkins  Wyden+20

Sept. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate, Oregon, 2020

944LV
Sep.26-29
944LV
Merkley
55%
Merkley
55%

Merkley

55%

Perkins

35%

Dye

2%

Taher

2%
35%
PerkinsMerkley+20
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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