UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the West Virginia Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024

783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
41%
Manchin
41%

Manchin

41%

Justice

37%
37%
Justice  Manchin+4
783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
50%
Manchin
50%

Manchin

50%

Morrisey

29%
29%
Morrisey  Manchin+21
783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
49%
Manchin
49%

Manchin

49%

Mooney

28%
28%
Mooney  Manchin+21

Oct. 5, 2020

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2020

450LV
Oct.1-6
450LV
Swearengin
33%
Swearengin
33%

Swearengin

33%

Capito

53%

Moran

5%
53%
CapitoCapito+20

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2018

1,013LV
Oct.28-31
1,013LV
Manchin
47%
Manchin
47%

Manchin

47%

Morrisey

42%

Hollen

3%
42%
MorriseyManchin+6

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2018

400LV
Oct.19-30
400LV
Manchin
45%
Manchin
45%

Manchin

45%

Morrisey

40%

Hollen

11%
40%
MorriseyManchin+5

Oct. 18, 2018

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2018

650LV
Oct.12-19
650LV
Manchin
52%
Manchin
52%

Manchin

52%

Morrisey

36%

Hollen

4%
36%
MorriseyManchin+16
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Candidate is an incumbent

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