See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 12:45 PM

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Who’s ahead in West Virginia?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 13, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
W.Va.W.Va.
Oct 1-6, 2020
450 LV
Oct 1-6, 2020
450LVSwearengin
33%

Swearengin

33%

Capito

53%

Moran

5%
MoreCapito+20

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
W.Va.W.Va.
Oct 28-31, 2018
1,013 LV
Oct 28-31, 2018
1,013LVManchin
47%

Manchin

47%

Morrisey

42%

Hollen

3%
MoreManchin+6
U.S. Senate
W.Va.W.Va.
Oct 19-30, 2018
400 LV
Oct 19-30, 2018
400LVManchin
45%

Manchin

45%

Morrisey

40%

Hollen

11%
MoreManchin+5

Oct. 24, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
W.Va.W.Va.
Oct 16-18, 2018
600 LV
Oct 16-18, 2018
600LVManchin
45%

Manchin

45%

Morrisey

47%
47%
MorriseyMorrisey+2
U.S. Senate
W.Va.W.Va.
Oct 16-18, 2018
600 LV
Oct 16-18, 2018
600LVManchin
42%

Manchin

42%

Morrisey

44%

Hollen

3%
MoreMorrisey+2

Oct. 22, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
W.Va.W.Va.
Oct 12-19, 2018
650 LV
Oct 12-19, 2018
650LVManchin
52%

Manchin

52%

Morrisey

36%

Hollen

4%
MoreManchin+16

Oct. 18, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
W.Va.W.Va.
Oct 13-15, 2018
789 LV
Oct 13-15, 2018
789LVManchin
53%

Manchin

53%

Morrisey

47%
47%
MorriseyManchin+6
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