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Who’s ahead in the Alabama governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 28, 2022

Governor, Alabama, 2022

616LV
Oct.27-29
616LV
Flowers
25%
Flowers
25%

Flowers

25%

Ivey

60%

Blake

5%
60%
IveyIvey+34

Sept. 23, 2018

Governor, Alabama, 2018

1,254RV
Sep.9-24
1,254RV
Maddox
26%
Maddox
26%

Maddox

26%

Ivey

51%
51%
Ivey  Ivey+25

Sept. 21, 2018

Governor, Alabama, 2018

316LV
Sep.22
316LV
Maddox
38%
Maddox
38%

Maddox

38%

Ivey

58%
58%
Ivey  Ivey+20

July 24, 2018

Governor, Alabama, 2018

1,027LV
Jul.24-25
1,027LV
Maddox
42%
Maddox
42%

Maddox

42%

Ivey

56%
56%
Ivey  Ivey+14

June 20, 2018

Governor, Alabama, 2018

440LV
Jun.12-21
440LV
Maddox
28%
Maddox
28%

Maddox

28%

Ivey

53%
53%
Ivey  Ivey+25
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