See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 10, 2020, at 9:31 AM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 5, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,108 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,108LVNewsom
53%

Newsom

53%

Cox

41%
41%
CoxNewsom+12
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Nov 1-2, 2018
924 LV
Nov 1-2, 2018
924LVNewsom
53%

Newsom

53%

Cox

38%
38%
CoxNewsom+15

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 4, 2018

Governor
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVNewsom
58%

Newsom

58%

Cox

38%
38%
CoxNewsom+20
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Oct 25-30, 2018
900 LV
Oct 25-30, 2018
900LVNewsom
47%

Newsom

47%

Cox

37%
37%
CoxNewsom+11

Nov. 2, 2018

Governor
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Oct 10-24, 2018
2,178 RV
Oct 10-24, 2018
2,178RVNewsom
53%

Newsom

53%

Cox

34%
34%
CoxNewsom+19

Oct. 31, 2018

Governor
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Oct 25-27, 2018
1,068 LV
Oct 25-27, 2018
1,068LVNewsom
55%

Newsom

55%

Cox

42%
42%
CoxNewsom+13
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Oct 19-25, 2018
1,339 LV
Oct 19-25, 2018
1,339LVNewsom
58%

Newsom

58%

Cox

40%
40%
CoxNewsom+18

Oct. 30, 2018

Governor
Governor
Calif.Calif.
Oct 25-26, 2018
743 LV
Oct 25-26, 2018
743LVNewsom
55%

Newsom

55%

Cox

35%
35%
CoxNewsom+20
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