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Who’s ahead in the Connecticut governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 25, 2022

Governor, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,004A
Oct.24-26
1,004A
Lamont
55%
Lamont
55%

Lamont

55%

Stefanowski

24%
24%
Stefanowski  Lamont+31

Oct. 23, 2022

Governor, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Oct.23-24
500LV
Lamont
50%
Lamont
50%

Lamont

50%

Stefanowski

46%
46%
Stefanowski  Lamont+4
500LV
Oct.23-24
500LV
Lamont
49%
Lamont
49%

Lamont

49%

Stefanowski

43%

Hotaling

4%
43%
StefanowskiLamont+6

Oct. 22, 2022

Governor, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,879LV
Oct.19-23
1,879LV
Lamont
56%
Lamont
56%

Lamont

56%

Stefanowski

41%
41%
Stefanowski  Lamont+15

Oct. 20, 2022

Governor, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Oct.19-21
1,000LV
Lamont
53%
Lamont
53%

Lamont

53%

Stefanowski

43%

Hotaling

2%
43%
StefanowskiLamont+11

Oct. 17, 2022

Governor, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

718LV
Oct.15-18
718LV
Lamont
52%
Lamont
52%

Lamont

52%

Stefanowski

34%

Hotaling

4%
34%
StefanowskiLamont+18
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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