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Who’s ahead in the Illinois governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

Governor, Illinois, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Pritzker
59%
Pritzker
59%

Pritzker

59%

Bailey

39%
39%
Bailey  Pritzker+20

Oct. 24, 2022

Governor, Illinois, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

659LV
Oct.22-25
659LV
Pritzker
56%
Pritzker
56%

Pritzker

56%

Bailey

39%
39%
Bailey  Pritzker+17

Oct. 23, 2022

Governor, Illinois, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Oct.20-24
1,000LV
Pritzker
52%
Pritzker
52%

Pritzker

52%

Bailey

42%

Schluter

3%
42%
BaileyPritzker+9

Oct. 14, 2022

Governor, Illinois, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Oct.13-15
600LV
Pritzker
44%
Pritzker
44%

Pritzker

44%

Bailey

42%

Schluter

4%
42%
BaileyPritzker+2

Oct. 10, 2022

Governor, Illinois, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

770LV
Oct.10-11
770LV
Pritzker
49%
Pritzker
49%

Pritzker

49%

Bailey

34%

Schluter

8%
34%
BaileyPritzker+15
1,000RV
Oct.5-11
1,000RV
Pritzker
50%
Pritzker
50%

Pritzker

50%

Bailey

28%

Schluter

6%
28%
BaileyPritzker+22
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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