UPDATED Jan. 21, 2022, at 3:12 PM

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Who’s ahead in Illinois?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208 LV
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208LVPritzker
56%

Pritzker

56%

Schimpf

22%
22%
SchimpfPritzker+33
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208 LV
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208LVPritzker
53%

Pritzker

53%

Irvin

22%
22%
IrvinPritzker+32
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208 LV
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208LVPritzker
53%

Pritzker

53%

Sullivan

22%
22%
SullivanPritzker+31
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208 LV
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208LVPritzker
55%

Pritzker

55%

Bailey

27%
27%
BaileyPritzker+28
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208 LV
Jan 18-20, 2022
1,208LVPritzker
52%

Pritzker

52%

Rabine

28%
28%
RabinePritzker+24

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 3, 2018

Governor
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Nov 1-3, 2018
1,208 LV
Nov 1-3, 2018
1,208LVPritzker
49%

Pritzker

49%

Rauner

33%

McCann

8%

Jackson

5%
MorePritzker+16

Oct. 15, 2018

Governor
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Jul 25-29, 2018
800 LV
Jul 25-29, 2018
800LVPritzker
42%

Pritzker

42%

Rauner

29%

McCann

11%

Jackson

6%
MorePritzker+13

Oct. 9, 2018

Governor
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Sep 27-Oct 5, 2018
2,000 A
Sep 27-Oct 5, 2018
2,000APritzker
42%

Pritzker

42%

Rauner

24%

McCann

5%

Jackson

3%
MorePritzker+18
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Sep 27-Oct 5, 2018
968 LV
Sep 27-Oct 5, 2018
968LVPritzker
50%

Pritzker

50%

Rauner

30%

McCann

6%

Jackson

3%
MorePritzker+20

Oct. 8, 2018

Governor
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Sep 27-Oct 2, 2018
1,208 LV
Sep 27-Oct 2, 2018
1,208LVPritzker
47%

Pritzker

47%

Rauner

32%

McCann

7%

Jackson

6%
MorePritzker+16
Governor
Ill. Ill.
Sep 21-25, 2018
1,007 LV
Sep 21-25, 2018
1,007LVPritzker
48%

Pritzker

48%

Rauner

32%

McCann

4%

Jackson

3%
MorePritzker+16
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