We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Polls policy and FAQs

Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 5, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Pa.Pa.
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,833 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,833LVWolf
53%

Wolf

53%

Wagner

42%

Krawchuk

2%

Glover

1%
MoreWolf+11

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 4, 2018

Governor
Governor
Pa.Pa.
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVWolf
54%

Wolf

54%

Wagner

39%
39%
WagnerWolf+15

Nov. 2, 2018

Governor
Governor
Pa.Pa.
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2018
421 LV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2018
421LVWolf
58%

Wolf

58%

Wagner

37%
37%
WagnerWolf+21

Nov. 1, 2018

Governor
Governor
Pa.Pa.
Oct 22-28, 2018
214 LV
Oct 22-28, 2018
214LVWolf
59%

Wolf

59%

Wagner

33%
33%
WagnerWolf+26
Governor
Pa.Pa.
Oct 22-28, 2018
537 RV
Oct 22-28, 2018
537RVWolf
57%

Wolf

57%

Wagner

27%

Krawchuk

3%

Glover

1%
MoreWolf+30

Oct. 15, 2018

Governor
Governor
Pa.Pa.
Oct 1-2, 2018
1,188 RV
Oct 1-2, 2018
1,188RVWolf
48%

Wolf

48%

Wagner

36%
36%
WagnerWolf+12
Show more polls

No matching polls

Comments