See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 12, 2020, at 2:08 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added June 29, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-1CA-1
Jun 10-14, 2020
500 LV
Jun 10-14, 2020
500LVDenney
41%

Denney

41%

LaMalfa

46%
46%
LaMalfaLaMalfa+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

May 14, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-25CA-25
May 6-10, 2020
675 LV
May 6-10, 2020
675LVSmith
48%

Smith

48%

Garcia

46%
46%
GarciaSmith+2

March 28, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-50CA-50
Mar 18-21, 2020
400 LV
Mar 18-21, 2020
400LVCampa-Najjar
45%

Campa-Najjar

45%

Issa

48%
48%
IssaIssa+3

March 20, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-25CA-25
Mar 8-11, 2020
500 LV
Mar 8-11, 2020
500LVSmith
39%

Smith

39%

Garcia

43%
43%
GarciaGarcia+4

Feb. 17, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-48CA-48
Jan 24, 2020
360 LV
Jan 24, 2020
360LVRouda
23%

Rouda

23%

Burley

65%
65%
BurleyBurley+43
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