UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the California 45th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, CA-45, 2018

499RV
Oct.26-Nov.1
499RV
Porter
49%
Porter
49%

Porter

49%

Walters

41%
41%
Walters  Porter+8
499LV
Oct.26-Nov.1
499LV
Porter
48%
Porter
48%

Porter

48%

Walters

46%
46%
Walters  Porter+1
400LV
Oct.14-17
400LV
Porter
46%
Porter
46%

Porter

46%

Walters

50%
50%
Walters  Walters+4
365LV
Oct.14-16
365LV
Porter
42%
Porter
42%

Porter

42%

Walters

50%
50%
Walters  Walters+8
518RV
Sep.21-25
518RV
Porter
46%
Porter
46%

Porter

46%

Walters

40%
40%
Walters  Porter+6
518LV
Sep.21-25
518LV
Porter
48%
Porter
48%

Porter

48%

Walters

43%
43%
Walters  Porter+5
400LV
Sep.20-23
400LV
Porter
48%
Porter
48%

Porter

48%

Walters

47%
47%
Walters  Porter+1
519LV
Sep.16-23
519LV
Porter
52%
Porter
52%

Porter

52%

Walters

45%
45%
Walters  Porter+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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