UPDATED Apr. 9, 2021, at 4:44 PM

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Who’s ahead in California’s 53rd District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 20, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-53CA-53
Oct 15-18, 2020
511 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
511LVJacobs
40%

Jacobs

40%

Gómez

27%
27%
GómezJacobs+13

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 22, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-53CA-53
Sep 18-21, 2020
534 LV
Sep 18-21, 2020
534LVJacobs
38%

Jacobs

38%

Gómez

24%
24%
GómezJacobs+14

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-53CA-53
Jul 27-Aug 2, 2020
500 RV
Jul 27-Aug 2, 2020
500RVJacobs
32%

Jacobs

32%

Gómez

17%
17%
GómezJacobs+15

No matching polls

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