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Who’s ahead in the Illinois 6th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. House, IL-6, 2020

600LV
Oct.29-Nov.1
600LV
Casten
55%
Casten
55%

Casten

55%

Ives

41%

Redpath

2%
41%
IvesCasten+14

Dec. 16, 2019

U.S. House, IL-6, 2020

575LV
Dec.17
575LV
Casten
38%
Casten
38%

Casten

38%

Ives

47%
47%
Ives  Ives+10

Oct. 25, 2018

U.S. House, IL-6, 2018

497RV
Oct.20-26
497RV
Casten
45%
Casten
45%

Casten

45%

Roskam

40%
40%
Roskam  Casten+5
497LV
Oct.20-26
497LV
Casten
46%
Casten
46%

Casten

46%

Roskam

44%
44%
Roskam  Casten+1

Sept. 30, 2018

U.S. House, IL-6, 2018

400LV
Sep.29-Oct.1
400LV
Casten
49%
Casten
49%

Casten

49%

Roskam

44%
44%
Roskam  Casten+5

Sept. 9, 2018

U.S. House, IL-6, 2018

402LV
Sep.8-10
402LV
Casten
47%
Casten
47%

Casten

47%

Roskam

44%
44%
Roskam  Casten+3
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