See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 16, 2020, at 8:20 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in Illinois?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Dec. 23, 2019

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-6IL-6
Dec 17, 2019
575 LV
Dec 17, 2019
575LVCasten
38%

Casten

38%

Ives

47%
47%
IvesIves+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-6IL-6
Oct 20-26, 2018
497 RV
Oct 20-26, 2018
497RVCasten
45%

Casten

45%

Roskam

40%
40%
RoskamCasten+5
U.S. House
IL-6IL-6
Oct 20-26, 2018
497 LV
Oct 20-26, 2018
497LVCasten
46%

Casten

46%

Roskam

44%
44%
RoskamCasten+1

Oct. 8, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-6IL-6
Sep 29-Oct 1, 2018
400 LV
Sep 29-Oct 1, 2018
400LVCasten
49%

Casten

49%

Roskam

44%
44%
RoskamCasten+5

Sept. 19, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-6IL-6
Sep 8-10, 2018
402 LV
Sep 8-10, 2018
402LVCasten
47%

Casten

47%

Roskam

44%
44%
RoskamCasten+3

Sept. 11, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-6IL-6
Sep 4-6, 2018
512 RV
Sep 4-6, 2018
512RVCasten
40%

Casten

40%

Roskam

39%
39%
RoskamCasten+1
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