We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Iowa’s 3rd District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 22, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426LVAxne
55%

Axne

55%

Young

41%
41%
YoungAxne+14
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426LVAxne
53%

Axne

53%

Young

42%
42%
YoungAxne+11
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426RVAxne
52%

Axne

52%

Young

43%

Holder

2%
MoreAxne+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Aug. 6, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507LVAxne
52%

Axne

52%

Young

41%
41%
YoungAxne+11
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507LVAxne
50%

Axne

50%

Young

42%
42%
YoungAxne+8
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507 RV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507RVAxne
48%

Axne

48%

Young

42%

Holder

2%
MoreAxne+6

July 21, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Jul 7-9, 2020
400 LV
Jul 7-9, 2020
400LVAxne
43%

Axne

43%

Young

44%

Holder

6%
MoreYoung+1
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Mar 10-12, 2020
400 RV
Mar 10-12, 2020
400RVAxne
48%

Axne

48%

Young

48%
48%
YoungEven

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2018
380 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2018
380LVAxne
46%

Axne

46%

Young

45%
45%
YoungAxne+1

Oct. 26, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 25-27, 2018
504 RV
Oct 25-27, 2018
504RVAxne
40%

Axne

40%

Young

39%
39%
YoungAxne+1
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 25-27, 2018
504 LV
Oct 25-27, 2018
504LVAxne
43%

Axne

43%

Young

41%
41%
YoungAxne+2
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