UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Iowa 3 House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 10, 2022

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022

400LV
Jul.9-11
400LV
Axne
43%
Axne
43%

Axne

43%

Nunn

43%
43%
Nunn  Even

Sept. 8, 2021

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022

1,000LV
Sep.9
1,000LV
Axne
46%
Axne
46%

Axne

46%

Nunn

42%
42%
Nunn  Axne+4

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. House, IA-3, 2020

426LV
Oct.15-20
426LV
Axne
55%
Axne
55%

Axne

55%

Young

41%
41%
Young  Axne+14
426LV
Oct.15-20
426LV
Axne
53%
Axne
53%

Axne

53%

Young

42%
42%
Young  Axne+11
426RV
Oct.15-20
426RV
Axne
52%
Axne
52%

Axne

52%

Young

43%

Holder

2%
43%
YoungAxne+9

Aug. 2, 2020

U.S. House, IA-3, 2020

507LV
Jul.25-Aug.3
507LV
Axne
52%
Axne
52%

Axne

52%

Young

41%
41%
Young  Axne+11
507LV
Jul.25-Aug.3
507LV
Axne
50%
Axne
50%

Axne

50%

Young

42%
42%
Young  Axne+8
507RV
Jul.25-Aug.3
507RV
Axne
48%
Axne
48%

Axne

48%

Young

42%

Holder

2%
42%
YoungAxne+6

July 8, 2020

U.S. House, IA-3, 2020

400LV
Jul.7-9
400LV
Axne
43%
Axne
43%

Axne

43%

Young

44%

Holder

6%
44%
YoungYoung+1
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