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Who’s ahead in the New York 18 House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 12, 2022

U.S. House, NY-18, 2022

500LV
Mar.10-13
500LV
Maloney
49%
Maloney
49%

Maloney

49%

Schmitt

37%
37%
Schmitt  Maloney+12

Feb. 6, 2022

U.S. House, NY-18, 2022

300LV
Feb.5-7
300LV
Maloney
37%
Maloney
37%

Maloney

37%

Schmitt

38%
38%
Schmitt  Schmitt+1

Oct. 10, 2020

U.S. House, NY-18, 2020

400LV
Oct.6-11
400LV
Maloney
53%
Maloney
53%

Maloney

53%

Farley

35%

Smith

5%
35%
FarleyMaloney+18
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