UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York’s 18th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 18, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-18 NY-18
Oct 6-11, 2020
400 LV
Oct 6-11, 2020
400LVMaloney
53%

Maloney

53%

Farley

35%

Smith

5%
MoreMaloney+18

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

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