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Who’s ahead in the Ohio house race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 15, 2021

Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. House, OH-1, 2020

505LV
Oct.29-Nov.1
505LV
Schroder
45%
Schroder
45%

Schroder

45%

Chabot

47%

Kahn

3%
47%
ChabotChabot+2

Oct. 17, 2020

U.S. House, OH-10, 2020

400LV
Oct.15-18
400LV
Tims
45%
Tims
45%

Tims

45%

Turner

49%
49%
Turner  Turner+4

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. House, OH-12, 2020

818RV
Oct.14-15
818RV
Shearer
44%
Shearer
44%

Shearer

44%

Balderson

48%
48%
Balderson  Balderson+4

Sept. 28, 2020

U.S. House, OH-10, 2020

400LV
Sep.26-29
400LV
Tims
42%
Tims
42%

Tims

42%

Turner

49%
49%
Turner  Turner+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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