UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in Ohio?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 19, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
OH-15 OH-15
Oct 14-16, 2021
445 LV
Oct 14-16, 2021
445LVRusso
39%

Russo

39%

Carey

50%
50%
CareyCarey+11

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
OH-1 OH-1
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
505 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
505LVSchroder
45%

Schroder

45%

Chabot

47%

Kahn

3%
MoreChabot+2

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
OH-12 OH-12
Oct 14-15, 2020
818 RV
Oct 14-15, 2020
818RVShearer
44%

Shearer

44%

Balderson

48%
48%
BaldersonBalderson+4

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
OH-10 OH-10
Oct 15-18, 2020
400 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
400LVTims
45%

Tims

45%

Turner

49%
49%
TurnerTurner+4

Oct. 6, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
OH-10 OH-10
Sep 26-29, 2020
400 LV
Sep 26-29, 2020
400LVTims
42%

Tims

42%

Turner

49%
49%
TurnerTurner+7
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