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Who’s ahead in the Oklahoma House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. House, OK-5, 2020

607LV
Oct.29-Nov.1
607LV
Horn
47%
Horn
47%

Horn

47%

Bice

47%
47%
Bice  Even

Oct. 24, 2020

U.S. House, OK-5, 2020

500LV
Oct.22-25
500LV
Horn
44%
Horn
44%

Horn

44%

Bice

49%
49%
Bice  Bice+5

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. House, OK-1, 2020

1,492LV
Oct.15-20
1,492LV
Asamoa-Caesar
30%
Asamoa-Caesar
30%

Asamoa-Caesar

30%

Hern

59%

Rogers

6%
59%
HernHern+29

Sept. 29, 2020

Sept. 9, 2020

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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