See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 12, 2020, at 2:08 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added June 26, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-16PA-16
Jun 22-23, 2020
726 V
Jun 22-23, 2020
726VGnibus
40%

Gnibus

40%

Kelly

48%
48%
KellyKelly+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 31, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-16PA-16
Oct 29-30, 2018
405 LV
Oct 29-30, 2018
405LVDiNicola
51%

DiNicola

51%

Kelly

47%
47%
KellyDiNicola+4

Oct. 16, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-16PA-16
Oct 9-10, 2018
548 LV
Oct 9-10, 2018
548LVDiNicola
46%

DiNicola

46%

Kelly

49%
49%
KellyKelly+3

Oct. 6, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-16PA-16
Oct 5-8, 2018
532 RV
Oct 5-8, 2018
532RVDiNicola
37%

DiNicola

37%

Kelly

51%
51%
KellyKelly+14
U.S. House
PA-16PA-16
Oct 5-8, 2018
532 LV
Oct 5-8, 2018
532LVDiNicola
42%

DiNicola

42%

Kelly

50%
50%
KellyKelly+9

June 7, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
PA-16PA-16
Jun 5-7, 2018
400 LV
Jun 5-7, 2018
400LVDiNicola
44%

DiNicola

44%

Kelly

50%
50%
KellyKelly+6
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