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Who’s ahead in the South Carolina 1st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 15, 2020

U.S. House, SC-1, 2020

400LV
Oct.14-16
400LV
Cunningham
45%
Cunningham
45%

Cunningham

45%

Mace

47%
47%
Mace  Mace+2

Oct. 6, 2020

U.S. House, SC-1, 2020

400LV
Oct.5-7
400LV
Cunningham
55%
Cunningham
55%

Cunningham

55%

Mace

42%
42%
Mace  Cunningham+13

May 17, 2020

U.S. House, SC-1, 2020

500LV
May 15-18
500LV
Cunningham
43%
Cunningham
43%

Cunningham

43%

Landing

45%
45%
Landing  Landing+2
500LV
May 15-18
500LV
Cunningham
44%
Cunningham
44%

Cunningham

44%

Mace

45%
45%
Mace  Mace+1

Aug. 30, 2018

U.S. House, SC-1, 2018

628V
Aug.30-31
628V
Cunningham
42%
Cunningham
42%

Cunningham

42%

Arrington

49%
49%
Arrington  Arrington+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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