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Who’s ahead in the Texas House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 13, 2022

U.S. House, TX-15, 2022

400LV
Oct.10-14
400LV
Vallejo
45%
Vallejo
45%

Vallejo

45%

De La Cruz-Hernandez

45%

Leone

4%
45%
De La Cruz-HernandezEven

July 31, 2022

U.S. House, TX-34, 2022

400LV
Jul.23-Aug.1
400LV
Gonzalez
47%
Gonzalez
47%

Gonzalez

47%

Flores

43%
43%
Flores  Gonzalez+4

July 28, 2022

U.S. House, TX-23, 2022

452V
Jul.28-29
452V
Lira
26%
Lira
26%

Lira

26%

Gonzales

42%

Lopez

6%

Hart

1%
42%
GonzalesGonzales+16

U.S. House, TX-15, 2022

400LV
Jul.22-29
400LV
Vallejo
40%
Vallejo
40%

Vallejo

40%

De La Cruz-Hernandez

44%
44%
De La Cruz-Hernandez  De La Cruz-Hernandez+4

June 10, 2022

U.S. House, TX-34, 2022

484LV
Jun.8-11
484LV
Sanchez
34%
Sanchez
34%

Sanchez

34%

Flores

43%

Coronado

7%

Cantu-Cabrera

3%
43%
FloresFlores+9

April 20, 2022

U.S. House, TX-34, 2022

400LV
Apr.19-21
400LV
Sanchez
19%
Sanchez
19%

Sanchez

19%

Flores

24%

Coronado

9%

Cantu-Cabrera

7%
24%
FloresFlores+5
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Candidate is an incumbent

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