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Who’s ahead in the Texas 32nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, TX-32, 2018

477RV
Oct.29-Nov.4
477RV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Sessions

36%
36%
Sessions  Allred+10
477LV
Oct.29-Nov.4
477LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Sessions

42%
42%
Sessions  Allred+4
500RV
Sep.19-24
500RV
Allred
47%
Allred
47%

Allred

47%

Sessions

48%
48%
Sessions  Sessions+1
500LV
Sep.19-24
500LV
Allred
47%
Allred
47%

Allred

47%

Sessions

48%
48%
Sessions  Sessions+2
600LV
Sep.20-23
600LV
Allred
50%
Allred
50%

Allred

50%

Sessions

47%
47%
Sessions  Allred+3
600LV
Sep.20-23
600LV
Allred
47%
Allred
47%

Allred

47%

Sessions

46%

Baker

5%
46%
SessionsAllred+1
555V
Sep.17-18
555V
Allred
47%
Allred
47%

Allred

47%

Sessions

42%
42%
Sessions  Allred+5
500LV
Jul.30-Aug.1
500LV
Allred
45%
Allred
45%

Allred

45%

Sessions

47%
47%
Sessions  Sessions+2
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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