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Who’s ahead in the Virginia 10th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 12, 2022

U.S. House, VA-10, 2022

400LV
Oct.11-13
400LV
Wexton
43%
Wexton
43%

Wexton

43%

Cao

41%
41%
Cao  Wexton+2

Oct. 11, 2020

U.S. House, VA-10, 2020

400LV
Oct.10-12
400LV
Wexton
58%
Wexton
58%

Wexton

58%

Andrews

36%
36%
Andrews  Wexton+22

Oct. 27, 2018

U.S. House, VA-10, 2018

446LV
Oct.25-28
446LV
Wexton
54%
Wexton
54%

Wexton

54%

Comstock

43%
43%
Comstock  Wexton+11

Oct. 20, 2018

U.S. House, VA-10, 2018

430LV
Oct.15-21
430LV
Wexton
56%
Wexton
56%

Wexton

56%

Comstock

43%
43%
Comstock  Wexton+13

Oct. 15, 2018

U.S. House, VA-10, 2018

421LV
Oct.14-16
421LV
Wexton
47%
Wexton
47%

Wexton

47%

Comstock

47%
47%
Comstock  Even
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Candidate is an incumbent

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