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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 20, 2022

President: Republican primary, Pennsylvania, 2024

639RV
Nov.19-21
639RV
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  DeSantis+5

Sept. 6, 2022

July 23, 2022

President: Republican primary, Pennsylvania, 2024

129LV
Jul.22-24
129LV
Trump
40%
Trump
40%

Trump

40%

DeSantis

29%

Pence

7%

Cheney

6%

Cruz

2%

Rubio

2%

Christie

2%

Pompeo

0%
29%
DeSantisTrump+12

Feb. 19, 2020

President: Republican primary, Pennsylvania, 2020

462LV
Feb.11-20
462LV
Trump
87%
Trump
87%

Trump

87%

Walsh

2%

Weld

2%
2%
WalshTrump+85

March 27, 2019

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