See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 1, 2021, at 8:21 AM

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Who’s ahead in Kentucky?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 1, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
365 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
365LVMcGrath
46%

McGrath

46%

McConnell

49%

Barron

5%
MoreMcConnell+3
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 22-31, 2020
911 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
911LVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

51%
51%
McConnellMcConnell+11

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 16-28, 2020
250 RV
Oct 16-28, 2020
250RVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

50%
50%
McConnellMcConnell+10

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 19-20, 2020
640 LV
Oct 19-20, 2020
640LVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

50%

Barron

5%
MoreMcConnell+10

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 12-15, 2020
625 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
625LVMcGrath
42%

McGrath

42%

McConnell

51%

Barron

4%
MoreMcConnell+9

Sept. 23, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Sep 14-19, 2020
807 LV
Sep 14-19, 2020
807LVMcGrath
41%

McGrath

41%

McConnell

48%
48%
McConnellMcConnell+7
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Sep 14-19, 2020
807 LV
Sep 14-19, 2020
807LVMcGrath
39%

McGrath

39%

McConnell

46%

Barron

3%
MoreMcConnell+7
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