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Who’s ahead in the Maryland Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 11, 2022

U.S. Senate, Maryland, 2022

748LV
Sep.8-12
748LV
Van Hollen
56%
Van Hollen
56%

Van Hollen

56%

Chaffee

33%
33%
Chaffee  Van Hollen+23

Nov. 30, 2021

U.S. Senate, Maryland, 2022

500LV
Nov.29-Dec.1
500LV
Van Hollen
37%
Van Hollen
37%

Van Hollen

37%

Hogan

49%
49%
Hogan  Hogan+12

Oct. 5, 2018

U.S. Senate, Maryland, 2018

806LV
Oct.1-6
806LV
Cardin
49%
Cardin
49%

Cardin

49%

Campbell

22%

Simon

18%
22%
CampbellCardin+28

Sept. 15, 2018

U.S. Senate, Maryland, 2018

472LV
Sep.11-16
472LV
Cardin
56%
Cardin
56%

Cardin

56%

Campbell

17%

Simon

8%

Vohra

1%
17%
CampbellCardin+39
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Candidate is an incumbent

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