See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 8, 2020, at 8:25 AM

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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 6, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Nov 3-5, 2018
600 LV
Nov 3-5, 2018
600LVRosen
47%

Rosen

47%

Heller

45%
45%
HellerRosen+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 5, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Nov 2-4, 2018
600 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
600LVRosen
46%

Rosen

46%

Heller

46%
46%
HellerHeller+1
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Nov 1-4, 2018
1,197 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
1,197LVRosen
49%

Rosen

49%

Heller

45%
45%
HellerRosen+5

Nov. 4, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Nov 1-3, 2018
600 LV
Nov 1-3, 2018
600LVRosen
45%

Rosen

45%

Heller

46%
46%
HellerHeller+2

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600 LV
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600LVRosen
44%

Rosen

44%

Heller

45%
45%
HellerHeller+1
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2018
2,587 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2018
2,587LVRosen
46%

Rosen

46%

Heller

49%
49%
HellerHeller+3
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400 LV
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400LVRosen
46%

Rosen

46%

Heller

43%
43%
HellerRosen+3

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600 LV
Oct 30-Nov 1, 2018
600LVRosen
43%

Rosen

43%

Heller

46%
46%
HellerHeller+3
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Oct 24-26, 2018
773 LV
Oct 24-26, 2018
773LVRosen
47%

Rosen

47%

Heller

45%
45%
HellerRosen+2
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