UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in California’s 22nd District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 6, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-22 CA-22
Jun 23-29, 2020
400 LV
Jun 23-29, 2020
400LVArballo
42%

Arballo

42%

Nunes

51%
51%
NunesNunes+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 5, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-22 CA-22
Sep 29-Oct 1, 2020
400 LV
Sep 29-Oct 1, 2020
400LVArballo
46%

Arballo

46%

Nunes

51%
51%
NunesNunes+5

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-22 CA-22
Oct 19-21, 2018
840 LV
Oct 19-21, 2018
840LVJanz
46%

Janz

46%

Nunes

51%
51%
NunesNunes+5
U.S. House
CA-22 CA-22
Sep 4-6, 2018
651 LV
Sep 4-6, 2018
651LVJanz
40%

Janz

40%

Nunes

51%
51%
NunesNunes+11

Oct. 3, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-22 CA-22
Sep 16-23, 2018
912 LV
Sep 16-23, 2018
912LVJanz
45%

Janz

45%

Nunes

53%
53%
NunesNunes+8

Sept. 26, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-22 CA-22
Sep 20-25, 2018
582 LV
Sep 20-25, 2018
582LVJanz
41%

Janz

41%

Nunes

55%
55%
NunesNunes+14
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