UPDATED Sep. 23, 2022, at 4:08 PM

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Who’s ahead in the California 22nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 4, 2022

U.S. House, CA-22, 2022

400LV
Jul.30-Aug.5
400LV
Salas
39%
Salas
39%

Salas

39%

Valadao

34%
34%
Valadao  Salas+5

July 14, 2022

U.S. House, CA-22, 2022

600LV
Jul.13-15
600LV
Salas
43%
Salas
43%

Salas

43%

Valadao

35%
35%
Valadao  Salas+8

Sept. 30, 2020

U.S. House, CA-22, 2020

400LV
Sep.29-Oct.1
400LV
Arballo
46%
Arballo
46%

Arballo

46%

Nunes

51%
51%
Nunes  Nunes+5

June 28, 2020

U.S. House, CA-22, 2020

400LV
Jun.23-29
400LV
Arballo
42%
Arballo
42%

Arballo

42%

Nunes

51%
51%
Nunes  Nunes+9

Oct. 20, 2018

U.S. House, CA-22, 2018

840LV
Oct.19-21
840LV
Janz
46%
Janz
46%

Janz

46%

Nunes

51%
51%
Nunes  Nunes+5
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