UPDATED May 4, 2021, at 9:39 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Iowa?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 21, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 15-20, 2020
414 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
414LVScholten
44%

Scholten

44%

Feenstra

47%
47%
FeenstraFeenstra+3
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426LVAxne
55%

Axne

55%

Young

41%
41%
YoungAxne+14
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Oct 15-20, 2020
355 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
355LVHart
54%

Hart

54%

Miller-Meeks

41%
41%
Miller-MeeksHart+13
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
352 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
352LVFinkenauer
56%

Finkenauer

56%

Hinson

42%
42%
HinsonFinkenauer+14
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 15-20, 2020
414 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
414LVScholten
43%

Scholten

43%

Feenstra

48%
48%
FeenstraFeenstra+5
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426LVAxne
53%

Axne

53%

Young

42%
42%
YoungAxne+11
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Oct 15-20, 2020
355 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
355LVHart
51%

Hart

51%

Miller-Meeks

42%
42%
Miller-MeeksHart+9
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
352 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
352LVFinkenauer
54%

Finkenauer

54%

Hinson

44%
44%
HinsonFinkenauer+10
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 15-20, 2020
414 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
414RVScholten
42%

Scholten

42%

Feenstra

48%
48%
FeenstraFeenstra+6
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426RVAxne
52%

Axne

52%

Young

43%

Holder

2%
MoreAxne+9
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Oct 15-20, 2020
355 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
355RVHart
49%

Hart

49%

Miller-Meeks

43%
43%
Miller-MeeksHart+6
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
352 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
352RVFinkenauer
52%

Finkenauer

52%

Hinson

44%
44%
HinsonFinkenauer+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 13-15, 2020
603 LV
Oct 13-15, 2020
603LVScholten
45%

Scholten

45%

Feenstra

50%
50%
FeenstraFeenstra+5

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 6-8, 2020
400 LV
Oct 6-8, 2020
400LVScholten
31%

Scholten

31%

Feenstra

54%
54%
FeenstraFeenstra+23

Oct. 1, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Sep 26-28, 2020
400 LV
Sep 26-28, 2020
400LVFinkenauer
45%

Finkenauer

45%

Hinson

45%
45%
HinsonEven

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
393 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
393LVScholten
33%

Scholten

33%

Feenstra

56%
56%
FeenstraFeenstra+23
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
393 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
393LVScholten
34%

Scholten

34%

Feenstra

55%
55%
FeenstraFeenstra+21
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
393 RV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
393RVScholten
34%

Scholten

34%

Feenstra

54%
54%
FeenstraFeenstra+20
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507LVAxne
52%

Axne

52%

Young

41%
41%
YoungAxne+11
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507LVAxne
50%

Axne

50%

Young

42%
42%
YoungAxne+8
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507 RV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
507RVAxne
48%

Axne

48%

Young

42%

Holder

2%
MoreAxne+6
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
374 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
374LVHart
45%

Hart

45%

Miller-Meeks

48%
48%
Miller-MeeksMiller-Meeks+3
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
374 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
374LVHart
44%

Hart

44%

Miller-Meeks

48%
48%
Miller-MeeksMiller-Meeks+4
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
374 RV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
374RVHart
44%

Hart

44%

Miller-Meeks

47%
47%
Miller-MeeksMiller-Meeks+3
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
391 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
391LVFinkenauer
52%

Finkenauer

52%

Hinson

40%
40%
HinsonFinkenauer+12
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
391 LV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
391LVFinkenauer
52%

Finkenauer

52%

Hinson

41%
41%
HinsonFinkenauer+11
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
391 RV
Jul 25-Aug 3, 2020
391RVFinkenauer
51%

Finkenauer

51%

Hinson

41%
41%
HinsonFinkenauer+10
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