UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Iowa?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Sep 9, 2021
1,000 LV
Sep 9, 2021
1,000LVAxne
46%

Axne

46%

Nunn

42%
42%
NunnAxne+4

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 15-20, 2020
414 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
414LVScholten
44%

Scholten

44%

Feenstra

47%
47%
FeenstraFeenstra+3
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426LVAxne
55%

Axne

55%

Young

41%
41%
YoungAxne+14
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Oct 15-20, 2020
355 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
355LVHart
54%

Hart

54%

Miller-Meeks

41%
41%
Miller-MeeksHart+13
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
352 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
352LVFinkenauer
56%

Finkenauer

56%

Hinson

42%
42%
HinsonFinkenauer+14
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 15-20, 2020
414 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
414LVScholten
43%

Scholten

43%

Feenstra

48%
48%
FeenstraFeenstra+5
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426LVAxne
53%

Axne

53%

Young

42%
42%
YoungAxne+11
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Oct 15-20, 2020
355 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
355LVHart
51%

Hart

51%

Miller-Meeks

42%
42%
Miller-MeeksHart+9
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
352 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
352LVFinkenauer
54%

Finkenauer

54%

Hinson

44%
44%
HinsonFinkenauer+10
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 15-20, 2020
414 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
414RVScholten
42%

Scholten

42%

Feenstra

48%
48%
FeenstraFeenstra+6
U.S. House
IA-3IA-3
Oct 15-20, 2020
426 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
426RVAxne
52%

Axne

52%

Young

43%

Holder

2%
MoreAxne+9
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Oct 15-20, 2020
355 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
355RVHart
49%

Hart

49%

Miller-Meeks

43%
43%
Miller-MeeksHart+6
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Oct 15-20, 2020
352 RV
Oct 15-20, 2020
352RVFinkenauer
52%

Finkenauer

52%

Hinson

44%
44%
HinsonFinkenauer+8

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 13-15, 2020
603 LV
Oct 13-15, 2020
603LVScholten
45%

Scholten

45%

Feenstra

50%
50%
FeenstraFeenstra+5

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-4IA-4
Oct 6-8, 2020
400 LV
Oct 6-8, 2020
400LVScholten
31%

Scholten

31%

Feenstra

54%
54%
FeenstraFeenstra+23

Oct. 1, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IA-1IA-1
Sep 26-28, 2020
400 LV
Sep 26-28, 2020
400LVFinkenauer
45%

Finkenauer

45%

Hinson

45%
45%
HinsonEven
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