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Who’s ahead in the Missouri House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. House, MO-2, 2020

597LV
Oct.30-Nov.2
597LV
Schupp
46%
Schupp
46%

Schupp

46%

Wagner

46%

Schulte

2%
46%
WagnerEven

Sept. 13, 2020

U.S. House, MO-2, 2020

400LV
Sep.10-14
400LV
Schupp
49%
Schupp
49%

Schupp

49%

Wagner

49%
49%
Wagner  Even

Aug. 13, 2020

U.S. House, MO-2, 2020

925V
Aug.13-14
925V
Schupp
45%
Schupp
45%

Schupp

45%

Wagner

42%
42%
Wagner  Schupp+3

Feb. 19, 2020

U.S. House, MO-2, 2020

1,360LV
Feb.19-20
1,360LV
Schupp
40%
Schupp
40%

Schupp

40%

Wagner

50%
50%
Wagner  Wagner+10

Aug. 25, 2018

U.S. House, MO-2, 2018

402LV
Aug.23-26
402LV
VanOstran
43%
VanOstran
43%

VanOstran

43%

Wagner

41%

Kirk

1%

Arnold

0%
41%
WagnerVanOstran+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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