UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in Missouri?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 1, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
MO-2 MO-2
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2020
597 LV
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2020
597LVSchupp
46%
Tie

Schupp

46%

Wagner

46%

Schulte

2%
MoreEven

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 17, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MO-2 MO-2
Sep 10-14, 2020
400 LV
Sep 10-14, 2020
400LVSchupp
49%

Schupp

49%

Wagner

49%
49%
WagnerEven

Aug. 16, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MO-2 MO-2
Aug 13-14, 2020
925 V
Aug 13-14, 2020
925VSchupp
45%

Schupp

45%

Wagner

42%
42%
WagnerSchupp+3

Feb. 21, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MO-2 MO-2
Feb 19-20, 2020
1,360 LV
Feb 19-20, 2020
1,360LVSchupp
40%

Schupp

40%

Wagner

50%
50%
WagnerWagner+10

Sept. 5, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
MO-2 MO-2
Aug 23-26, 2018
402 LV
Aug 23-26, 2018
402LVVanOstran
43%

VanOstran

43%

Wagner

41%

Kirk

1%

Arnold

0%
MoreVanOstran+2
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