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Who’s ahead in the Virginia 5th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. House, VA-5, 2020

910V
Oct.21-22
910V
Webb
46%
Webb
46%

Webb

46%

Good

43%
43%
Good  Webb+3

Oct. 7, 2020

U.S. House, VA-5, 2020

400LV
Oct.4-8
400LV
Webb
47%
Webb
47%

Webb

47%

Good

45%
45%
Good  Webb+2

Sept. 30, 2020

U.S. House, VA-5, 2020

500LV
Sep.27-Oct.1
500LV
Webb
45%
Webb
45%

Webb

45%

Good

42%
42%
Good  Webb+3

Sept. 13, 2020

U.S. House, VA-5, 2020

400LV
Sep.10-14
400LV
Webb
46%
Webb
46%

Webb

46%

Good

47%
47%
Good  Good+1

Aug. 3, 2020

U.S. House, VA-5, 2020

500LV
Jul.30-Aug.4
500LV
Webb
42%
Webb
42%

Webb

42%

Good

44%
44%
Good  Good+2
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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