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Who’s ahead in the Washington 8 house race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

400RV
Oct.4-9
400RV
Schrier
39%
Schrier
39%

Schrier

39%

Rossi

49%
49%
Rossi  Rossi+10
505RV
Sep.24-26
505RV
Schrier
43%
Schrier
43%

Schrier

43%

Rossi

41%
41%
Rossi  Schrier+1
505LV
Sep.24-26
505LV
Schrier
46%
Schrier
46%

Schrier

46%

Rossi

45%
45%
Rossi  Schrier+1
300LV
Apr.18-22
300LV
Schrier
45%
Schrier
45%

Schrier

45%

Rossi

51%
51%
Rossi  Rossi+6
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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