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Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 14, 2022

President: Republican primary, California, 2024

Aug.9-15
DeSantis
53%
DeSantis
53%

DeSantis

53%

Pence

9%

Haley

4%

Pompeo

4%

Cruz

3%

Rubio

2%

Hogan

1%

T. Scott

1%

Youngkin

0%

Cotton

0%

Christie

0%
9%
PenceDeSantis+44
Aug.9-15
Trump
38%
Trump
38%

Trump

38%

DeSantis

27%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

Pompeo

2%

Cruz

2%

Rubio

1%

Hogan

1%

T. Scott

0%

Youngkin

0%

Cotton

0%

Christie

0%
27%
DeSantisTrump+11

Dec. 7, 2019

President: Republican primary, California, 2020

298LV
Dec.4-8
298LV
Trump
85%
Trump
85%

Trump

85%

Walsh

3%

Weld

3%
3%
WalshTrump+82

Sept. 15, 2019

President: Republican primary, California, 2020

208LV
Sep.13-16
208LV
Trump
86%
Trump
86%

Trump

86%

Sanford

6%

Weld

4%

Walsh

4%
6%
SanfordTrump+80

May 27, 2019

President: Republican primary, California, 2020

989LV
May 25-28
989LV
Trump
91%
Trump
91%

Trump

91%

Weld

3%
3%
Weld  Trump+88
989LV
May 25-28
989LV
Trump
86%
Trump
86%

Trump

86%

Haley

5%
5%
Haley  Trump+81
989LV
May 25-28
989LV
Trump
90%
Trump
90%

Trump

90%

Kasich

3%
3%
Kasich  Trump+87

April 8, 2019

President: Republican primary, California, 2020

853LV
Apr.6-9
853LV
Trump
83%
Trump
83%

Trump

83%

Haley

5%
5%
Haley  Trump+78
853LV
Apr.6-9
853LV
Trump
83%
Trump
83%

Trump

83%

Kasich

4%
4%
Kasich  Trump+79
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