2018 MLB Predictions

The Marlins are done for the season.

NL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Braves Braves90-72	—	✓	✓
Nationals Nationals82-80	8.0	—	—
Phillies Phillies80-82	10.0	—	—
Mets Mets77-85	13.0	—	—
Marlins Marlins63-98	26.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1431	–10	+0	=1421	35%	0
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1497	+8	+24	=1529	65%	1
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1432	+2	+0	=1434	41%	0
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1496	–24	+24	=1496	59%	1
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1428	+13	+0	=1441	43%	8
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1500	–33	+24	=1491	57%	1
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1430	+8	+0	=1438	37%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	McGowin	1525	–21	+24	=1528	63%	9
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1432	–11	+0	=1421	27%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+49	+24	=1597	73%	9
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1433	+0	–3	=1430	31%	3
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1522	+25	+24	=1571	69%	7
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	CINReds	Lorenzen	1462	+4	+0	=1466	53%	0
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1429	–6	+24	=1447	47%	6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1464	+9	+0	=1473	52%	1
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1427	+9	+24	=1460	48%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1466	+26	+0	=1492	56%	0
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1425	+2	+24	=1451	44%	1
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1464	–27	–3	=1434	49%	4
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1427	–11	+26	=1442	51%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1524	+25	+0	=1549	62%	4
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1428	+10	+24	=1462	38%	2
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1527	–25	–3	=1499	58%	5
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1425	–3	+21	=1443	42%	8
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1423	+8	+0	=1431	40%	6
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1488	–9	+24	=1503	60%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1424	–12	+0	=1412	36%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1487	–1	+24	=1510	64%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1428	+6	–1	=1433	42%	2
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1483	–23	+26	=1486	58%	14
9/13Thursday, Sept. 136:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1430	–11	+0	=1419	41%	2
9/13Thursday, Sept. 136:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1492	–35	+24	=1481	59%	5
9/13Thursday, Sept. 133:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1431	+5	+0	=1436	41%	3
9/13Thursday, Sept. 133:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1491	–18	+24	=1497	59%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 124:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+0	+0	=1435	38%	0
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 124:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1487	+10	+24	=1521	62%	13
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1432	+5	+3	=1440	32%	5
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1490	+51	+26	=1567	68%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1434	+7	+0	=1441	40%	1
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1496	–12	+24	=1508	60%	5
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–3	–1	=1431	37%	3
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1495	+2	+26	=1523	63%	5
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1493	–12	+0	=1481	54%	1
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1434	–4	+24	=1454	46%	2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1490	–2	+0	=1488	53%	9
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1436	+8	+24	=1468	47%	4
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1492	+2	–3	=1491	55%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1434	+1	+24	=1459	45%	3
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1468	–10	+0	=1458	50%	6
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1437	–6	+24	=1455	50%	1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1470	+1	+0	=1471	52%	3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1435	+1	+24	=1460	48%	6
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1469	+9	–1	=1477	54%	6
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1436	–7	+23	=1452	46%	5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1438	+10	+0	=1448	26%	6
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 296:35 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1593	+15	+24	=1632	74%	14
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1438	+4	–1	=1441	29%	7
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1593	–21	+23	=1595	71%	8
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1518	+3	+0	=1521	57%	4
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1440	+5	+24	=1469	43%	0
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1520	–5	+0	=1515	58%	1
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1438	–1	+24	=1461	42%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1522	+12	+0	=1534	62%	0
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1436	–10	+24	=1450	38%	1
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1519	–10	–3	=1506	57%	5
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1439	–5	+24	=1458	43%	0
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1575	–14	+0	=1561	63%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1434	+9	+24	=1467	37%	9
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1575	+11	–1	=1585	67%	2
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1435	+3	+23	=1461	33%	1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1429	+0	+0	=1429	36%	12
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1527	–19	+24	=1532	64%	1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1426	+0	+0	=1426	37%	7
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1529	–33	+24	=1520	63%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1427	–6	–1	=1420	26%	2
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1528	+55	+21	=1604	74%	8
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1429	+0	+0	=1429	33%	2
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1521	+3	+24	=1548	67%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1430	+17	+0	=1447	36%	6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1520	+3	+24	=1547	64%	10
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Gonzalez	1432	–1	+0	=1431	34%	1
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1518	+7	+24	=1549	66%	6
8/13Monday, Aug. 131:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1435	+7	–3	=1439	38%	1
8/13Monday, Aug. 131:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Toussaint	1515	–14	+24	=1525	62%	9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1464	+24	+0	=1488	54%	4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1436	–2	+24	=1458	46%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1465	–18	+0	=1447	50%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–8	+24	=1451	50%	4
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1463	+4	–1	=1466	50%	6
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1437	–1	+26	=1462	50%	2
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1518	–17	+0	=1501	53%	7
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1440	+16	+24	=1480	47%	1
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1516	+17	+0	=1533	60%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1441	+1	+24	=1466	40%	2
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1518	–14	–3	=1501	57%	1
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1440	–6	+21	=1455	43%	2
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1441	–9	+0	=1432	30%	3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1513	+39	+24	=1576	70%	5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1443	+7	+0	=1450	41%	3
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1511	–19	+24	=1516	59%	8
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1445	+15	+0	=1460	40%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1509	+0	+24	=1533	60%	5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1446	–3	–1	=1442	40%	2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1507	–20	+24	=1511	60%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 317:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1449	–2	+0	=1447	40%	6
7/31Tuesday, July 317:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Allard	1508	–14	+24	=1518	60%	11
7/30Monday, July 307:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1450	–4	–3	=1443	39%	3
7/30Monday, July 307:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1507	–7	+24	=1524	61%	5
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1525	–17	+0	=1508	55%	0
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1447	+2	+24	=1473	45%	5
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1527	–13	+0	=1514	55%	1
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1445	+9	+24	=1478	45%	2
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+48	+0	=1572	64%	9
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1447	+1	+24	=1472	36%	1
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Milone	1521	–41	–3	=1477	50%	10
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1451	–1	+26	=1476	50%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 2412:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1515	+2	+0	=1517	57%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 2412:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1447	–3	+24	=1468	43%	9
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1511	–4	–3	=1504	53%	12
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1452	+6	+22	=1480	47%	1
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1453	+1	+0	=1454	38%	4
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1515	+0	+24	=1539	62%	6
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1451	–5	+0	=1446	37%	3
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1517	–3	+24	=1538	63%	2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1449	–3	+5	=1451	37%	6
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1519	–3	+28	=1544	63%	5
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	De Los Santos	1510	–21	+0	=1489	51%	5
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1446	+12	+24	=1482	49%	10
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1512	+38	+0	=1550	62%	0
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1444	–4	+24	=1464	38%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1510	–4	–3	=1503	55%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1445	–4	+26	=1467	45%	0
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1532	+11	+0	=1543	61%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1443	–5	+24	=1462	39%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1530	+2	+0	=1532	59%	8
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1445	–2	+24	=1467	41%	4
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1532	+6	–3	=1535	58%	3
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1444	+14	+21	=1479	42%	4
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1438	+0	+0	=1438	36%	10
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1530	–16	+24	=1538	64%	2
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	+0	+0	=1441	28%	4
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1527	+55	+24	=1606	72%	18
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1442	–8	+0	=1434	36%	2
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1526	–12	+24	=1538	64%	3
7/5Thursday, July 57:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1443	+0	–3	=1440	37%	12
7/5Thursday, July 57:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1525	–19	+24	=1530	63%	14
7/4Wednesday, July 41:10 p.m.	TBRays	Andriese	1517	–15	+0	=1502	54%	0
7/4Wednesday, July 41:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1441	+10	+24	=1475	46%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1515	–22	+0	=1493	53%	9
7/3Tuesday, July 37:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1443	+4	+24	=1471	47%	6
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1516	–1	–2	=1513	58%	2
7/2Monday, July 27:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	–4	+24	=1461	42%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1463	–5	+0	=1458	50%	5
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1443	–8	+24	=1459	50%	2
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1466	+46	+0	=1512	57%	2
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1441	+1	+24	=1466	43%	5
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1469	–13	–1	=1455	49%	2
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1437	+1	+24	=1462	51%	8
6/28Thursday, June 2812:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1540	+16	+0	=1556	62%	4
6/28Thursday, June 2812:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1439	+8	+24	=1471	38%	0
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1539	+7	+0	=1546	62%	2
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1440	–7	+24	=1457	38%	1
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1537	–9	+0	=1528	59%	5
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1442	–3	+24	=1463	41%	3
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Miller	1541	–20	–3	=1518	60%	5
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1438	–10	+20	=1448	40%	9
6/24Sunday, June 243:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1436	+16	+0	=1452	43%	8
6/24Sunday, June 243:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1484	–7	+24	=1501	57%	5
6/23Saturday, June 233:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1433	–1	+0	=1432	38%	6
6/23Saturday, June 233:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1487	+5	+24	=1516	62%	2
6/22Friday, June 228:40 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1435	–2	–1	=1432	38%	3
6/22Friday, June 228:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1484	+7	+24	=1515	62%	11
6/20Wednesday, June 203:45 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1437	+15	+0	=1452	42%	5
6/20Wednesday, June 203:45 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1501	–16	+24	=1509	58%	6
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1438	–5	+0	=1433	38%	3
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1500	–6	+24	=1518	62%	6
6/18Monday, June 1810:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1436	+19	–4	=1451	40%	5
6/18Monday, June 1810:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1502	–1	+22	=1523	60%	4
6/17Sunday, June 171:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1439	+4	+0	=1443	45%	4
6/17Sunday, June 171:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1429	+27	+24	=1480	55%	10
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1438	–4	+0	=1434	48%	5
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1431	–6	+24	=1449	52%	4
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1436	+6	–3	=1439	45%	2
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1433	+15	+26	=1474	55%	0
6/14Thursday, June 1412:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1499	–8	+0	=1491	55%	6
6/14Thursday, June 1412:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1438	–6	+24	=1456	45%	3
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1501	–1	+0	=1500	53%	4
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1436	+20	+24	=1480	47%	5
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1503	+0	+0	=1503	56%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1434	+1	+24	=1459	44%	3
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Bumgarner	1505	+35	–3	=1537	62%	5
6/11Monday, June 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1432	+0	+24	=1456	38%	7
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1461	+6	+0	=1467	50%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1433	+7	+24	=1464	50%	1
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1459	+20	+0	=1479	53%	5
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–2	+24	=1457	47%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1462	–15	–2	=1445	46%	0
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1432	+18	+21	=1471	54%	4
6/7Thursday, June 71:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1434	+1	+0	=1435	34%	1
6/7Thursday, June 71:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1515	+14	+24	=1553	66%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1428	+0	+0	=1428	35%	11
6/6Wednesday, June 68:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1521	–8	+24	=1537	65%	3
6/5Tuesday, June 58:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1425	+9	–1	=1433	31%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1524	+18	+26	=1568	69%	4
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1427	–4	+0	=1423	35%	1
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1526	–21	+24	=1529	65%	6
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1428	+23	+0	=1451	34%	2
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1524	+18	+24	=1566	66%	6
6/1Friday, June 19:40 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1430	+5	–2	=1433	34%	1
6/1Friday, June 19:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1522	–2	+26	=1546	66%	9
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1433	+2	+0	=1435	46%	3
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1456	–14	+24	=1466	54%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1434	+4	+0	=1438	44%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1454	–1	+24	=1477	56%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1436	–4	+0	=1432	41%	5
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1452	+22	+24	=1498	59%	9
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1433	+19	–4	=1448	47%	7
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1456	–12	+23	=1467	53%	2
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1548	+20	+0	=1568	65%	5
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1435	+4	+24	=1463	35%	2
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1546	–14	+0	=1532	60%	4
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1436	–1	+24	=1459	40%	1
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1544	+39	–1	=1582	66%	9
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1438	+6	+23	=1467	34%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1436	–4	+0	=1432	34%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1490	+37	+24	=1551	66%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1433	+14	+0	=1447	43%	5
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1493	–23	+24	=1494	57%	1
5/21Monday, May 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1434	+4	–3	=1435	42%	0
5/21Monday, May 217:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1492	–23	+24	=1493	58%	2
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1435	–1	+0	=1434	35%	9
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1510	+7	+24	=1541	65%	10
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1437	+7	+0	=1444	36%	1
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1508	+11	+24	=1543	64%	8
5/18Friday, May 187:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–7	–3	=1425	36%	2
5/18Friday, May 187:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Wisler	1510	–14	+26	=1522	64%	0
5/17Thursday, May 1712:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1531	–16	+0	=1515	55%	7
5/17Thursday, May 1712:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1438	+21	+24	=1483	45%	0
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1533	+0	+0	=1533	60%	5
5/16Wednesday, May 167:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1436	+3	+24	=1463	40%	6
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1536	+10	–2	=1544	62%	2
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1434	–2	+26	=1458	38%	4
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1506	+9	+0	=1515	57%	4
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1435	+9	+24	=1468	43%	3
5/12Saturday, May 127:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Soroka	1503	–9	+0	=1494	53%	10
5/12Saturday, May 127:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1438	+11	+24	=1473	47%	5
5/11Friday, May 117:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1506	–7	+0	=1499	57%	3
5/11Friday, May 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–8	+24	=1451	43%	6
5/10Thursday, May 107:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1502	–4	–2	=1496	52%	9
5/10Thursday, May 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1439	+22	+21	=1482	48%	2
5/9Wednesday, May 92:20 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	+6	+0	=1447	31%	4
5/9Wednesday, May 92:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1556	+3	+24	=1583	69%	13
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1442	+5	+0	=1447	35%	3
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Tseng	1555	–28	+24	=1551	65%	4
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1445	+21	–2	=1464	32%	2
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1552	+17	+22	=1591	68%	14
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1442	–10	+0	=1432	45%	8
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1445	–3	+24	=1466	55%	5
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1439	+11	+0	=1450	45%	6
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1449	+10	+24	=1483	55%	0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	+10	–1	=1450	47%	1
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1447	+1	+26	=1474	53%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1492	+28	+0	=1520	57%	6
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1443	+2	+24	=1469	43%	0
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1493	–31	+0	=1462	47%	1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1442	+19	+24	=1485	53%	2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1496	+21	–3	=1514	58%	4
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1439	–4	+24	=1459	42%	8
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1497	+6	+0	=1503	56%	0
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1436	–1	+24	=1459	44%	3
4/28Saturday, April 287:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1499	–5	+0	=1494	54%	1
4/28Saturday, April 287:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1434	+11	+24	=1469	46%	4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1498	+10	–2	=1506	57%	1
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1435	+0	+22	=1457	43%	0
4/25Wednesday, April 257:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1431	–7	+0	=1424	25%	8
4/25Wednesday, April 257:35 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1559	+31	+24	=1614	75%	6
4/24Tuesday, April 2410:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1429	–15	+0	=1414	29%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 2410:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1561	–14	+24	=1571	71%	2
4/23Monday, April 2310:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1430	+18	–4	=1444	33%	1
4/23Monday, April 2310:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1561	–21	+24	=1564	67%	2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1431	–6	+0	=1425	34%	2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1511	+2	+24	=1537	66%	4
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1432	+4	+0	=1436	37%	5
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1510	–7	+24	=1527	63%	6
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+5	+0	=1440	39%	0
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–10	+24	=1521	61%	8
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1437	–13	–1	=1423	33%	3
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+24	=1549	67%	12
4/17Tuesday, April 176:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1431	+14	+0	=1445	29%	9
4/17Tuesday, April 176:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1560	+15	+24	=1599	71%	1
4/16Monday, April 166:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1433	+1	–3	=1431	27%	1
4/16Monday, April 166:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1558	+16	+27	=1601	73%	12
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1494	–3	+0	=1491	54%	7
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1435	+3	+24	=1462	46%	3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1493	+21	+0	=1514	58%	1
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1437	–5	+24	=1456	42%	0
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1497	+3	–3	=1497	58%	2
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1433	–16	+26	=1443	42%	7
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1507	–22	+0	=1485	53%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1435	+6	+24	=1465	47%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1506	+24	+0	=1530	60%	8
4/10Tuesday, April 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1437	+2	+24	=1463	40%	6
4/9Monday, April 97:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1505	+29	–3	=1531	60%	4
4/9Monday, April 97:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1438	+5	+21	=1464	40%	2
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+0	+0	=1435	37%	6
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1489	+17	+24	=1530	63%	3
4/7Saturday, April 76:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1440	+1	+2	=1443	42%	1
4/7Saturday, April 76:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1483	–13	+26	=1496	58%	20
4/5Thursday, April 53:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1443	+3	–1	=1445	44%	0
4/5Thursday, April 53:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1481	–17	+23	=1487	56%	5
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1553	+32	+0	=1585	67%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 36:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1444	–2	+24	=1466	33%	2
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1551	–26	–2	=1523	57%	7
4/2Monday, April 27:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1446	+3	+24	=1473	43%	3
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1560	+11	+0	=1571	65%	0
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1442	–4	+24	=1462	35%	6
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1558	+2	+0	=1560	62%	10
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Despaigne	1443	+6	+24	=1473	38%	6
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1560	+16	+0	=1576	65%	1
3/30Friday, March 307:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1441	+1	+24	=1466	35%	2
3/29Thursday, March 2912:30 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1558	–6	–3	=1549	61%	8
3/29Thursday, March 2912:30 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1443	+3	+24	=1470	39%	4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments