2018 MLB Predictions

The Mets are done for the season.

NL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Braves Braves90-72	—	✓	✓
Nationals Nationals82-80	8.0	—	—
Phillies Phillies80-82	10.0	—	—
Mets Mets77-85	13.0	—	—
Marlins Marlins63-98	26.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1431	–10	+0	=1421	35%	0
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1497	+8	+24	=1529	65%	1
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1432	+2	+0	=1434	41%	0
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1496	–24	+24	=1496	59%	1
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1428	+13	+0	=1441	43%	8
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1500	–33	+24	=1491	57%	1
9/27Thursday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1525	–1	+0	=1524	55%	1
9/27Thursday, Sept. 277:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1498	–33	+24	=1489	45%	4
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1527	–16	+0	=1511	41%	0
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1496	+51	+24	=1571	59%	3
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Toussaint	1524	–7	–1	=1516	48%	7
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1499	+9	+24	=1532	52%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1497	–18	+0	=1479	43%	8
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1524	–24	+24	=1524	57%	6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1500	–33	+0	=1467	43%	0
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224 p.m.	WSHNationals	Voth	1522	–32	+24	=1514	57%	6
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1498	+49	+0	=1547	52%	4
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Ross	1523	–16	+24	=1531	48%	2
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1496	–34	–2	=1460	31%	5
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1525	+50	+23	=1598	69%	4
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 196:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1499	+13	+0	=1512	53%	0
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 196:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1484	–20	+24	=1488	47%	4
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1500	–20	+0	=1480	40%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1483	+43	+24	=1550	60%	5
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1497	+13	–2	=1508	50%	9
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1486	+1	+24	=1511	50%	4
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1498	+49	+0	=1547	33%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1590	+59	+24	=1673	67%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1499	–34	+0	=1465	31%	3
9/15Saturday, Sept. 154:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1590	–10	+24	=1604	69%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1494	+10	–2	=1502	38%	8
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Cuevas	1595	–28	+24	=1591	62%	0
9/13Thursday, Sept. 136:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1430	–11	+0	=1419	41%	2
9/13Thursday, Sept. 136:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1492	–35	+24	=1481	59%	5
9/13Thursday, Sept. 133:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1431	+5	+0	=1436	41%	3
9/13Thursday, Sept. 133:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1491	–18	+24	=1497	59%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 124:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+0	+0	=1435	38%	0
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 124:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1487	+10	+24	=1521	62%	13
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1432	+5	+3	=1440	32%	5
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1490	+51	+26	=1567	68%	3
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1490	+3	+0	=1493	40%	4
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1489	+51	+24	=1564	60%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1493	–20	+0	=1473	42%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1486	+18	+24	=1528	58%	10
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1491	+46	–1	=1536	56%	4
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1487	–18	+22	=1491	44%	3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1484	+10	+0	=1494	38%	7
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:35 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ryu	1562	–11	+24	=1575	62%	3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1486	–30	+0	=1456	32%	4
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1560	+1	+24	=1585	68%	11
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1484	+49	–2	=1531	43%	4
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1562	–4	+24	=1582	57%	2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1481	+12	+0	=1493	48%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1497	–13	+24	=1508	52%	1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1480	–21	+0	=1459	42%	2
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1499	–5	+24	=1518	58%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1483	+8	–2	=1489	46%	0
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1495	–6	+26	=1515	54%	7
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:30 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1478	–29	+0	=1449	33%	10
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:30 p.m.	CHCCubs	Mills	1554	–7	+24	=1571	67%	3
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1479	+52	+0	=1531	42%	1
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1552	+13	+24	=1589	58%	2
8/27Monday, Aug. 278:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1480	+18	–3	=1495	40%	4
8/27Monday, Aug. 278:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1551	–9	+24	=1566	60%	7
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1517	–34	+0	=1483	49%	15
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1486	–23	+24	=1487	51%	0
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1519	–2	+0	=1517	50%	0
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1484	+8	+24	=1516	50%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1521	–24	–2	=1495	53%	0
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1482	–33	+24	=1473	47%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Bumgarner	1490	+26	+0	=1516	43%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1484	+55	+24	=1563	57%	1
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Kelly	1491	–25	+0	=1466	41%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1482	+20	+24	=1526	59%	5
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1494	–17	+0	=1477	49%	3
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1480	–23	+24	=1481	51%	6
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1492	–5	–3	=1484	46%	2
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1482	+7	+23	=1512	54%	1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 197 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1478	–33	+0	=1445	43%	8
8/19Sunday, Aug. 197 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–10	+0	=1494	57%	2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1476	+54	+0	=1530	50%	3
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1506	+0	+24	=1530	50%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 176:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1478	+25	+0	=1503	41%	2
8/17Friday, Aug. 176:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1504	+38	+24	=1566	59%	4
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1479	–15	+0	=1464	43%	6
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1503	–13	+24	=1514	57%	9
8/16Thursday, Aug. 164:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1471	–17	–1	=1453	42%	24
8/16Thursday, Aug. 164:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1511	–27	+24	=1508	58%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1466	+5	+0	=1471	52%	16
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1427	+8	+24	=1459	48%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1468	–36	–2	=1430	47%	3
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1425	+3	+26	=1454	53%	6
8/13Monday, Aug. 137 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1465	+50	–3	=1512	36%	8
8/13Monday, Aug. 137 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1577	+15	+24	=1616	64%	5
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1464	+24	+0	=1488	54%	4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1436	–2	+24	=1458	46%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1465	–18	+0	=1447	50%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–8	+24	=1451	50%	4
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1463	+4	–1	=1466	50%	6
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1437	–1	+26	=1462	50%	2
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 812:10 p.m.	CINReds	Stephenson	1476	+8	+0	=1484	43%	0
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 812:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1460	+50	+24	=1534	57%	8
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1473	+1	+0	=1474	53%	6
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1462	–31	+24	=1455	47%	1
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1474	–11	–2	=1461	43%	4
8/6Monday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1461	+25	+24	=1510	57%	6
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1510	–8	+0	=1502	55%	5
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1462	–15	+24	=1471	45%	4
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1513	+0	+0	=1513	55%	0
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1460	–2	+24	=1482	45%	3
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1511	+1	+0	=1512	47%	2
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1461	+49	+24	=1534	53%	1
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1510	+9	–1	=1518	59%	4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1463	–30	+22	=1455	41%	2
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 112:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1464	+27	+0	=1491	47%	3
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 112:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Milone	1527	–42	+24	=1509	53%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1470	–6	+0	=1464	40%	4
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1522	–11	+23	=1534	60%	25
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1468	–7	+0	=1461	42%	1
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1501	–6	+24	=1519	58%	0
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1471	+49	+0	=1520	49%	0
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1498	+6	+24	=1528	51%	5
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1472	–30	+0	=1442	39%	4
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1497	–3	+24	=1518	61%	5
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1468	–6	–2	=1460	41%	12
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1502	+1	+22	=1525	59%	6
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1446	+2	+0	=1448	46%	4
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1466	–15	+24	=1475	54%	6
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1448	–5	+0	=1443	45%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1464	–9	+24	=1479	55%	6
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1446	+14	–1	=1459	38%	3
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1466	+49	+25	=1540	62%	2
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1467	–3	+0	=1464	32%	6
7/21Saturday, July 211:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1587	–16	+24	=1595	68%	7
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1464	+27	+6	=1497	37%	7
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1589	–25	+29	=1593	63%	5
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1519	–17	+0	=1502	54%	6
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1467	–19	+24	=1472	46%	1
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Voth	1522	–21	+0	=1501	53%	4
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1465	–8	+24	=1481	47%	7
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1524	–18	+0	=1506	49%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1463	+29	+24	=1516	51%	4
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1523	+51	–2	=1572	62%	5
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1464	–1	+24	=1487	38%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1511	–7	+0	=1504	46%	0
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1462	+47	+24	=1533	54%	3
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	De Los Santos	1509	–21	+0	=1488	52%	7
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Gagnon	1464	–12	+24	=1476	48%	3
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1507	+36	+0	=1543	61%	3
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1466	–25	+24	=1465	39%	1
7/9Monday, July 94:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–8	–2	=1499	52%	3
7/9Monday, July 94:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1464	–6	+24	=1482	48%	4
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1514	–2	+0	=1512	60%	9
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Flexen	1467	–48	+24	=1443	40%	0
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1512	+30	+0	=1542	57%	3
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1469	–3	+24	=1490	43%	0
7/6Friday, July 67:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1514	–7	–1	=1506	46%	1
7/6Friday, July 67:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1467	+43	+24	=1534	54%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 47:07 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1464	–25	+0	=1439	39%	6
7/4Wednesday, July 47:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1489	+3	+24	=1516	61%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 37:07 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1465	–9	–1	=1455	41%	6
7/3Tuesday, July 37:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1488	+5	+24	=1517	59%	8
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1463	–5	+0	=1458	50%	5
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1443	–8	+24	=1459	50%	2
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1466	+46	+0	=1512	57%	2
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1441	+1	+24	=1466	43%	5
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1469	–13	–1	=1455	49%	2
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1437	+1	+24	=1462	51%	8
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1478	+2	+0	=1480	50%	5
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1471	–15	+24	=1480	50%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1479	–7	+0	=1472	48%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1470	–7	+24	=1487	52%	4
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1477	+11	–2	=1486	50%	6
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1471	–7	+24	=1488	50%	4
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1559	+3	+0	=1562	61%	8
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Blevins	1472	–13	+24	=1483	39%	7
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1557	+28	+0	=1585	56%	8
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1475	+47	+24	=1546	44%	3
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1555	–3	–1	=1551	60%	5
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1477	–16	+20	=1481	40%	2
6/21Thursday, June 213:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1478	–7	+0	=1471	44%	4
6/21Thursday, June 213:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1483	+8	+24	=1515	56%	6
6/20Wednesday, June 208:40 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1479	–5	+0	=1474	46%	8
6/20Wednesday, June 208:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1481	–4	+24	=1501	54%	10
6/19Tuesday, June 198:40 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1481	–25	+0	=1456	44%	8
6/19Tuesday, June 198:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1480	–7	+24	=1497	56%	10
6/18Monday, June 188:40 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1476	+41	–3	=1514	50%	12
6/18Monday, June 188:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1484	+7	+21	=1512	50%	2
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1474	–22	+0	=1452	36%	5
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1534	–2	+24	=1556	64%	3
6/16Saturday, June 1610:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1470	–10	+0	=1460	34%	5
6/16Saturday, June 1610:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1537	+13	+24	=1574	66%	1
6/15Friday, June 159:40 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1472	–2	+0	=1470	39%	3
6/15Friday, June 159:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1535	–11	+24	=1548	61%	7
6/14Thursday, June 149:40 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1474	–23	–4	=1447	37%	3
6/14Thursday, June 149:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1534	–15	+24	=1543	63%	6
6/13Wednesday, June 1312:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1475	+40	+0	=1515	50%	0
6/13Wednesday, June 1312:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Soroka	1511	–16	+24	=1519	50%	2
6/12Tuesday, June 127:30 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1478	–18	–1	=1459	38%	2
6/12Tuesday, June 127:30 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1508	+15	+22	=1545	62%	8
6/10Sunday, June 108 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1589	+35	+0	=1624	68%	0
6/10Sunday, June 108 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1475	–8	+24	=1491	32%	2
6/9Saturday, June 97:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1588	–30	+0	=1558	60%	4
6/9Saturday, June 97:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1476	–10	+24	=1490	40%	3
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1586	+3	+0	=1589	57%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1478	+39	+26	=1543	43%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1442	+16	+0	=1458	47%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1479	–21	+24	=1482	53%	0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1440	+0	+3	=1443	44%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1481	–22	+26	=1485	56%	1
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1567	+3	+0	=1570	61%	2
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1482	–11	+24	=1495	39%	0
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1564	–4	+0	=1560	52%	7
6/2Saturday, June 27:15 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1485	+39	+24	=1548	48%	1
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1562	–14	+0	=1548	58%	7
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1487	–21	+24	=1490	42%	4
5/31Thursday, May 317:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1560	+0	–2	=1558	58%	5
5/31Thursday, May 317:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1489	–7	+21	=1503	42%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1487	–23	+0	=1464	40%	4
5/30Wednesday, May 307:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1510	+3	+24	=1537	60%	1
5/29Tuesday, May 297:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1488	–11	+0	=1477	44%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1509	–11	+24	=1522	56%	7
5/28Monday, May 287:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Conlon	1485	–13	+0	=1472	42%	8
5/28Monday, May 287:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1511	–8	+24	=1527	58%	5
5/28Monday, May 281:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1486	+39	–3	=1522	51%	3
5/28Monday, May 281:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Fried	1510	–12	+21	=1519	49%	4
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1487	–21	+0	=1466	37%	7
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1529	+6	+24	=1559	63%	8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1491	–21	+0	=1470	37%	6
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1526	+10	+24	=1560	63%	17
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1492	+31	+0	=1523	46%	3
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1524	+2	+24	=1550	54%	4
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1488	–15	–3	=1470	38%	5
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%	0
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1436	–4	+0	=1432	34%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1490	+37	+24	=1551	66%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1433	+14	+0	=1447	43%	5
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1493	–23	+24	=1494	57%	1
5/21Monday, May 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1434	+4	–3	=1435	42%	0
5/21Monday, May 217:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1492	–23	+24	=1493	58%	2
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1529	–8	+0	=1521	46%	1
5/20Sunday, May 201:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1490	+33	+24	=1547	54%	4
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1531	+13	+0	=1544	56%	4
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1488	–9	+24	=1503	44%	5
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1533	–3	–2	=1528	47%	1
5/18Friday, May 187:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1486	+35	+26	=1547	53%	3
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1503	+20	+0	=1523	54%	12
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1491	–17	+24	=1498	46%	1
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1507	–14	+0	=1493	43%	2
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1487	+33	+25	=1545	57%	12
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1489	+36	+2	=1527	45%	2
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1504	+33	+26	=1563	55%	4
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1486	–9	+0	=1477	41%	3
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1506	+13	+24	=1543	59%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 912:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1488	–21	+0	=1467	49%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 912:35 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1444	+3	+24	=1471	51%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1490	–22	+0	=1468	48%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1441	+18	+24	=1483	52%	7
5/7Monday, May 77:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Conlon	1489	–7	–3	=1479	52%	7
5/7Monday, May 77:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1443	–3	+24	=1464	48%	6
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1504	–8	+0	=1496	42%	3
5/6Sunday, May 61:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1491	+34	+24	=1549	58%	2
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1503	+5	+0	=1508	51%	2
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1493	–12	+24	=1505	49%	0
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1501	–7	–1	=1493	49%	8
5/4Friday, May 47:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1494	–16	+24	=1502	51%	7
5/3Thursday, May 31:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1503	–1	+0	=1502	50%	11
5/3Thursday, May 31:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1499	–18	+24	=1505	50%	0
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1499	–3	+0	=1496	41%	7
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1503	+31	+24	=1558	59%	0
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Soroka	1497	–7	+1	=1491	40%	3
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1505	+35	+22	=1562	60%	2
4/29Sunday, April 294:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1500	–18	+0	=1482	51%	14
4/29Sunday, April 294:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1453	–2	+24	=1475	49%	2
4/28Saturday, April 288:40 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1505	–9	+0	=1496	51%	2
4/28Saturday, April 288:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1448	+17	+24	=1489	49%	12
4/27Friday, April 2710:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1503	+27	–4	=1526	59%	5
4/27Friday, April 2710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1450	–10	+23	=1463	41%	1
4/26Thursday, April 261:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1504	+32	+0	=1536	43%	3
4/26Thursday, April 261:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1535	+24	+24	=1583	57%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1507	–13	+0	=1494	42%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1532	–5	+24	=1551	58%	9
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1505	–18	+3	=1490	40%	6
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1533	+2	+26	=1561	60%	5
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1507	+23	+0	=1530	52%	3
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1493	–3	+24	=1514	48%	4
4/20Friday, April 207:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1505	+33	+0	=1538	53%	5
4/20Friday, April 207:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1494	–3	+24	=1515	47%	3
4/19Thursday, April 197:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1508	–33	–3	=1472	46%	4
4/19Thursday, April 197:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Wisler	1491	–13	+24	=1502	54%	12
4/18Wednesday, April 187:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1538	–17	+0	=1521	51%	5
4/18Wednesday, April 187:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1505	–13	+24	=1516	49%	11
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1536	–5	+0	=1531	52%	5
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1507	–17	+24	=1514	48%	2
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1534	–40	–2	=1492	41%	8
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1509	+21	+24	=1554	59%	6
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–9	+0	=1498	41%	2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1508	+30	+24	=1562	59%	3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+0	=1525	53%	5
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1511	–30	+24	=1505	47%	1
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1506	+4	–1	=1509	48%	5
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1509	–12	+23	=1520	52%	6
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1507	–22	+0	=1485	53%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1435	+6	+24	=1465	47%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1506	+24	+0	=1530	60%	8
4/10Tuesday, April 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1437	+2	+24	=1463	40%	6
4/9Monday, April 97:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1505	+29	–3	=1531	60%	4
4/9Monday, April 97:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1438	+5	+21	=1464	40%	2
4/8Sunday, April 88:08 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1503	–28	+0	=1475	39%	6
4/8Sunday, April 88:08 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1540	–13	+24	=1551	61%	5
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1501	–15	+2	=1488	39%	3
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1542	–2	+26	=1566	61%	2
4/5Thursday, April 51:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1497	+23	–2	=1518	38%	8
4/5Thursday, April 51:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1546	+37	+21	=1604	62%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 41:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1482	+26	+0	=1508	44%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 41:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1495	+31	+24	=1550	56%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 37:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1484	–6	+2	=1480	49%	0
4/3Tuesday, April 37:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1493	–31	+26	=1488	51%	2
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1517	+6	+0	=1523	52%	5
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1496	–11	+24	=1509	48%	1
3/31Saturday, March 311:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1519	+1	+2	=1522	47%	2
3/31Saturday, March 311:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1493	+22	+26	=1541	53%	6
3/29Thursday, March 291:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1522	+19	–3	=1538	48%	4
3/29Thursday, March 291:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1491	+34	+24	=1549	52%	9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments