2018 MLB Predictions

The Pirates are done for the season.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Brewers Brewers96-67	—	✓	✓
Cubs Cubs95-68	1.0	✓	—
Cardinals Cardinals88-74	7.5	—	—
Pirates Pirates82-79	13.0	—	—
Reds Reds67-95	28.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Holmes	1502	–29	+0	=1473	50%	6
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Romano	1453	–7	+24	=1470	50%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1504	+25	+0	=1529	59%	0
9/29Saturday, Sept. 294 p.m.	CINReds	Lorenzen	1450	–5	+24	=1469	41%	3
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1502	–35	–2	=1465	47%	8
9/28Friday, Sept. 286:40 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1453	+10	+26	=1489	53%	4
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1504	+21	+0	=1525	45%	0
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1542	–4	+24	=1562	55%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1505	–7	+0	=1498	40%	6
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1541	+2	+24	=1567	60%	7
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1501	–2	+0	=1499	40%	6
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1545	–3	+24	=1566	60%	0
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1497	+23	–2	=1518	42%	5
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1548	+5	+23	=1576	58%	1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1532	–5	+0	=1527	54%	13
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1501	–25	+24	=1500	46%	6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1535	–5	+0	=1530	49%	0
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1498	+16	+24	=1538	51%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1532	+11	+0	=1543	53%	8
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1501	–7	+26	=1520	47%	3
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1432	–10	+0	=1422	36%	1
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1500	–5	+24	=1519	64%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1432	–21	+0	=1411	32%	1
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1500	+19	+24	=1543	68%	2
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1433	+19	–3	=1449	40%	6
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1498	–2	+22	=1518	60%	7
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1497	+15	+0	=1512	42%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1530	+12	+24	=1566	58%	2
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1495	–7	+0	=1488	41%	3
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1533	–6	+24	=1551	59%	1
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1496	–1	+0	=1495	44%	4
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Gonzalez	1531	–16	+25	=1540	56%	7
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1495	+18	+0	=1513	44%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Poncedeleon	1544	–11	+24	=1557	56%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1497	–1	+0	=1496	39%	5
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1542	+6	+24	=1572	61%	11
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1498	+16	–1	=1513	47%	7
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1541	–25	+22	=1538	53%	8
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1434	+7	+0	=1441	40%	1
9/8Saturday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1496	–12	+24	=1508	60%	5
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–3	–1	=1431	37%	3
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1495	+2	+26	=1523	63%	5
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1465	–25	+0	=1440	36%	2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1494	+21	+24	=1539	64%	3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1467	–32	+0	=1435	39%	3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1492	–2	+24	=1514	61%	7
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1469	+0	–3	=1466	41%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1490	+15	+22	=1527	59%	5
9/2Sunday, Sept. 25:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1492	–22	+0	=1470	40%	1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 25:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1518	–3	+24	=1539	60%	5
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1494	+0	+0	=1494	42%	3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1517	+8	+24	=1549	58%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1492	+23	–2	=1513	46%	3
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1518	–2	+24	=1540	54%	2
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1495	+2	+0	=1497	42%	0
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1542	–10	+24	=1556	58%	5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 298:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1492	+13	+0	=1505	40%	2
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 298:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1544	+8	+24	=1576	60%	0
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1494	–4	+0	=1490	38%	2
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1543	+12	+23	=1578	62%	5
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1496	+5	+0	=1501	44%	4
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1512	+5	+24	=1541	56%	7
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1491	+19	+0	=1510	44%	9
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1516	+13	+24	=1553	56%	1
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1493	+4	+0	=1497	46%	6
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1515	–19	+26	=1522	54%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1518	–5	+0	=1513	48%	2
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1494	+10	+24	=1528	52%	1
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1515	+2	+0	=1517	50%	6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1497	–7	+24	=1514	50%	1
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Wilson	1513	–16	–2	=1495	45%	1
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1499	+6	+24	=1529	55%	0
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1544	+1	+0	=1545	51%	1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1497	+19	+24	=1540	49%	2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1546	–18	+0	=1528	51%	1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1495	+2	+24	=1521	49%	3
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1545	+9	+0	=1554	53%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1496	+9	+24	=1529	47%	0
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1544	–12	–2	=1530	53%	1
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1498	–7	+21	=1512	47%	0
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1499	+8	+0	=1507	46%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1493	+19	+24	=1536	54%	6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1502	+22	–2	=1522	52%	2
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1491	–4	+23	=1510	48%	5
8/12Sunday, Aug. 124 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1503	+4	+0	=1507	44%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 124 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1495	+30	+24	=1549	56%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 119:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1500	+7	+0	=1507	51%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 119:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Blach	1498	–21	+24	=1501	49%	0
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Holmes	1502	–5	+0	=1497	47%	10
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1496	–5	+24	=1515	53%	13
8/9Thursday, Aug. 910:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1499	–10	–3	=1486	45%	10
8/9Thursday, Aug. 910:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1499	–2	+26	=1523	55%	5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 83:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1497	+6	+0	=1503	47%	4
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 83:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1507	–6	+24	=1525	53%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1494	+18	+0	=1512	50%	10
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1511	–24	+24	=1511	50%	2
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1495	–1	–3	=1491	44%	0
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1510	+3	+21	=1534	56%	2
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1517	+4	+0	=1521	49%	2
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1496	+9	+24	=1529	51%	1
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gomber	1514	–10	+0	=1504	48%	8
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1499	–5	+24	=1518	52%	4
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1515	–13	–3	=1499	45%	6
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1498	+11	+26	=1535	55%	7
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1554	–2	+0	=1552	56%	9
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1501	–13	+24	=1512	44%	2
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1556	+7	–1	=1562	53%	4
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1500	+18	+26	=1544	47%	5
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1468	–7	+0	=1461	42%	1
7/29Sunday, July 291:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1501	–6	+24	=1519	58%	0
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1471	+49	+0	=1520	49%	0
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1498	+6	+24	=1528	51%	5
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1472	–30	+0	=1442	39%	4
7/27Friday, July 277:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1497	–3	+24	=1518	61%	5
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1468	–6	–2	=1460	41%	12
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1502	+1	+22	=1525	59%	6
7/25Wednesday, July 251:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1503	+15	+0	=1518	40%	0
7/25Wednesday, July 251:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1548	+20	+24	=1592	60%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1500	–10	+0	=1490	41%	9
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1551	–24	+24	=1551	59%	4
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1495	+1	–2	=1494	35%	7
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1556	+23	+21	=1600	65%	0
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1491	–5	+0	=1486	48%	9
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1476	+2	+24	=1502	52%	2
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1488	+0	+0	=1488	46%	6
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1479	+15	+24	=1518	54%	2
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1483	+16	+5	=1504	48%	12
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1484	+6	+29	=1519	52%	1
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1521	+2	+0	=1523	53%	6
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1482	–7	+24	=1499	47%	7
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1524	–7	+0	=1517	54%	2
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Holmes	1479	–10	+24	=1493	46%	6
7/14Saturday, July 1412:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1525	+7	+0	=1532	55%	1
7/14Saturday, July 1412:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1477	–4	+24	=1497	45%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1528	+5	+0	=1533	55%	3
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1474	+0	+24	=1498	45%	7
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1531	–36	–3	=1492	47%	3
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1472	+15	+24	=1511	53%	6
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1525	–11	+0	=1514	52%	0
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1470	+3	+24	=1497	48%	2
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1522	–23	+0	=1499	51%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1473	–6	+24	=1491	49%	1
7/9Monday, July 97 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1524	–32	–2	=1490	50%	3
7/9Monday, July 97 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1470	–2	+24	=1492	50%	6
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Anderson	1511	–20	+0	=1491	50%	1
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1468	–3	+24	=1489	50%	4
7/7Saturday, July 74:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1510	–4	+0	=1506	50%	3
7/7Saturday, July 74:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1470	+14	+24	=1508	50%	2
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–18	+0	=1486	47%	17
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1475	+10	+22	=1507	53%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 48:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Holmes	1476	–3	+0	=1473	35%	4
7/4Wednesday, July 48:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1558	+2	+24	=1584	65%	6
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1478	+5	+0	=1483	33%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1556	+24	+24	=1604	67%	8
7/2Monday, July 210:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1482	+9	–1	=1490	38%	1
7/2Monday, July 210:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1552	–3	+24	=1573	62%	17
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1480	+12	+0	=1492	49%	7
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1457	+17	+24	=1498	51%	5
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1482	+7	+0	=1489	51%	3
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1455	+3	+24	=1482	49%	4
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1479	–15	–2	=1462	49%	6
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1458	–8	+23	=1473	51%	3
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1478	+2	+0	=1480	50%	5
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1471	–15	+24	=1480	50%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1479	–7	+0	=1472	48%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1470	–7	+24	=1487	52%	4
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1477	+11	–2	=1486	50%	6
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Lugo	1471	–7	+24	=1488	50%	4
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1539	–2	+0	=1537	54%	3
6/24Sunday, June 241:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1479	+7	+24	=1510	46%	0
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1536	+13	+0	=1549	58%	7
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1482	–12	+24	=1494	42%	2
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1535	+11	+0	=1546	56%	2
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1483	–5	+24	=1502	44%	1
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1532	–8	–2	=1522	51%	9
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1486	+3	+26	=1515	49%	3
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1528	–10	+0	=1518	49%	3
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1487	+12	+24	=1523	51%	2
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1530	+8	–2	=1536	54%	0
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1486	+0	+24	=1510	46%	1
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1450	+26	+0	=1476	46%	8
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1488	–8	+24	=1504	54%	6
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1452	+19	+0	=1471	46%	2
6/16Saturday, June 164:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1486	–8	+24	=1502	54%	6
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1453	–15	–1	=1437	40%	2
6/15Friday, June 157:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1485	+2	+22	=1509	60%	3
6/13Wednesday, June 133:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1483	+12	+0	=1495	38%	5
6/13Wednesday, June 133:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1536	+19	+24	=1579	62%	4
6/12Tuesday, June 129:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1485	+5	+0	=1490	40%	8
6/12Tuesday, June 129:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1534	+2	+24	=1560	60%	13
6/11Monday, June 119:40 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1487	–11	–4	=1472	37%	5
6/11Monday, June 119:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1532	+14	+21	=1567	63%	9
6/10Sunday, June 102:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1482	–11	+0	=1471	32%	7
6/10Sunday, June 102:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1569	+9	+24	=1602	68%	1
6/9Saturday, June 92:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1483	+4	+0	=1487	35%	0
6/9Saturday, June 92:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1567	+6	+24	=1597	65%	2
6/8Friday, June 82:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1484	+4	–2	=1486	36%	1
6/8Friday, June 82:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1566	–3	+24	=1587	64%	3
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hudson	1550	–19	+0	=1531	51%	8
6/7Thursday, June 712:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1485	+14	+24	=1523	49%	7
6/6Wednesday, June 67:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ferguson	1552	–20	+0	=1532	52%	9
6/6Wednesday, June 67:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1483	+10	+24	=1517	48%	11
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1550	+0	–1	=1549	57%	5
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1486	–9	+23	=1500	43%	0
6/3Sunday, June 32:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1488	+3	+0	=1491	42%	0
6/3Sunday, June 32:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1522	+2	+24	=1548	58%	5
6/2Saturday, June 22:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1489	+1	+0	=1490	43%	2
6/2Saturday, June 22:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1521	–7	+24	=1538	57%	3
6/1Friday, June 18:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1486	+7	+0	=1493	40%	4
6/1Friday, June 18:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1524	+15	+24	=1563	60%	0
5/31Thursday, May 317:15 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1488	+15	–3	=1500	44%	8
5/31Thursday, May 317:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1522	–3	+22	=1541	56%	10
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1562	+19	+0	=1581	62%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1486	–11	+24	=1499	38%	2
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1560	+5	+0	=1565	57%	8
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1487	+7	+24	=1518	43%	6
5/28Monday, May 281:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1557	–9	–2	=1546	54%	7
5/28Monday, May 281:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1491	+1	+24	=1516	46%	0
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1521	+15	+0	=1536	52%	6
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1492	+5	+24	=1521	48%	4
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1518	–6	+0	=1512	46%	4
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1495	+19	+24	=1538	54%	1
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1522	–27	–1	=1494	50%	1
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1491	–16	+22	=1497	50%	8
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1492	–6	+0	=1486	48%	4
5/24Thursday, May 2412:35 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1453	+23	+24	=1500	52%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1491	–1	+0	=1490	54%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1454	–14	+24	=1464	46%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1495	+8	+0	=1503	56%	2
5/22Tuesday, May 227:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1451	–16	+26	=1461	44%	7
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1454	–9	+0	=1445	36%	8
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1498	+20	+24	=1542	64%	5
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1451	–4	+0	=1447	38%	6
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1501	+7	+24	=1532	62%	2
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1449	+17	+0	=1466	42%	3
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1503	–7	+24	=1520	58%	2
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1450	–17	–2	=1431	37%	4
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1502	+1	+24	=1527	63%	5
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:35 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1432	–10	+0	=1422	34%	2
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1501	+9	+24	=1534	66%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1434	+11	+0	=1445	36%	0
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1499	+17	+26	=1542	64%	7
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1491	–31	+0	=1460	41%	5
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1502	–5	+24	=1521	59%	0
5/12Saturday, May 127:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Samardzija	1493	+4	+0	=1497	45%	5
5/12Saturday, May 127:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1501	+3	+24	=1528	55%	6
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1496	+0	–2	=1494	45%	2
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1497	+8	+24	=1529	55%	11
5/9Wednesday, May 92:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1496	+21	+0	=1517	57%	6
5/9Wednesday, May 92:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1435	+7	+24	=1466	43%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 88:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1494	–1	+1	=1494	54%	10
5/8Tuesday, May 88:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1438	+3	+26	=1467	46%	6
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1489	–4	+0	=1485	40%	9
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1514	+16	+24	=1554	60%	0
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1490	+7	+0	=1497	46%	3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1512	–8	+24	=1528	54%	5
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1488	+10	–3	=1495	43%	6
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1515	+6	+24	=1545	57%	4
5/3Thursday, May 31:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1490	+22	+0	=1512	48%	1
5/3Thursday, May 31:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1540	–38	+24	=1526	52%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1492	+7	+0	=1499	37%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1538	+29	+24	=1591	63%	9
5/1Tuesday, May 17:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1494	–1	+0	=1493	35%	4
5/1Tuesday, May 17:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1535	+40	+24	=1599	65%	12
4/30Monday, April 307:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1496	+4	–2	=1498	44%	2
4/30Monday, April 307:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1534	–17	+24	=1541	56%	3
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1532	–1	+0	=1531	53%	0
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1492	–6	+24	=1510	47%	5
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1534	–17	+0	=1517	48%	2
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1490	+20	+24	=1534	52%	6
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1536	–2	–3	=1531	54%	5
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1488	–10	+24	=1502	46%	6
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1453	+25	+0	=1478	45%	0
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1487	+3	+24	=1514	55%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 258:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1456	+11	+0	=1467	44%	3
4/25Wednesday, April 258:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1485	+1	+24	=1510	56%	8
4/25Wednesday, April 254:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1453	–18	+3	=1438	37%	13
4/25Wednesday, April 254:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1488	+14	+27	=1529	63%	10
4/22Sunday, April 221:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1489	+18	+0	=1507	48%	2
4/22Sunday, April 221:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–10	+24	=1518	52%	3
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1491	–13	+0	=1478	40%	2
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1502	+23	+24	=1549	60%	6
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1492	+0	+0	=1492	48%	1
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1501	–15	+24	=1510	52%	2
4/19Thursday, April 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1496	+21	–2	=1515	48%	0
4/19Thursday, April 197:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1497	+13	+21	=1531	52%	7
4/18Wednesday, April 1812:35 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1505	–11	+0	=1494	47%	2
4/18Wednesday, April 1812:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1492	–1	+24	=1515	53%	10
4/17Tuesday, April 177:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1503	+4	+0	=1507	46%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1494	+17	+24	=1535	54%	0
4/16Monday, April 167:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1500	–3	–2	=1495	48%	6
4/16Monday, April 167:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1497	–11	+21	=1507	52%	2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1494	–3	+0	=1491	54%	7
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1435	+3	+24	=1462	46%	3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1493	+21	+0	=1514	58%	1
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1437	–5	+24	=1456	42%	0
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1497	+3	–3	=1497	58%	2
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1433	–16	+26	=1443	42%	7
4/12Thursday, April 122:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1493	+16	+0	=1509	38%	6
4/12Thursday, April 122:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1560	+12	+24	=1596	62%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 118:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1496	–8	+0	=1488	38%	5
4/11Wednesday, April 118:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1557	–4	+24	=1577	62%	13
4/10Tuesday, April 102:20 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1493	–4	+0	=1489	37%	8
4/10Tuesday, April 102:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1560	–8	+25	=1577	63%	5
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1459	+10	+0	=1469	42%	0
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1490	+14	+24	=1528	58%	5
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1456	–2	+0	=1454	40%	7
4/7Saturday, April 77:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1493	+5	+24	=1522	60%	4
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1460	+28	+0	=1488	44%	3
4/6Friday, April 67:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1489	+19	+24	=1532	56%	14
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1462	–5	+3	=1460	44%	2
4/5Thursday, April 57:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1487	–8	+24	=1503	56%	5
4/4Wednesday, April 46:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1514	+5	+2	=1521	51%	7
4/4Wednesday, April 46:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1490	–1	+26	=1515	49%	3
4/2Monday, April 21:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1515	–1	–2	=1512	49%	4
4/2Monday, April 21:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1488	+12	+22	=1522	51%	5
4/1Sunday, April 16:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1487	+6	+0	=1493	53%	8
4/1Sunday, April 16:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1445	+0	+24	=1469	47%	6
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1485	+17	+2	=1504	50%	1
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1447	+31	+26	=1504	50%	0
3/30Friday, March 301:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1483	+0	–2	=1481	53%	13
3/30Friday, March 301:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1449	–15	+24	=1458	47%	10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments